The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League between Ajax (Netherlands) and Galatasaray (Turkey) will take place on November 5 at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam. Ajax vs. Galatasaray: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Ajax
Johnny Heitinga's side, along with Benfica, are among the only two clubs yet to secure a point in the group stage. Ajax first lost to Inter and Marseille, failing to score in both matches, and then suffered a heavy defeat against Chelsea (1-5). Moreover, the club has conceded a total of 11 goals – the worst record in the current UCL campaign alongside Eintracht. The Amsterdam team occupies the last place in the standings.
- The team has lost 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Champions League.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of the last 9 home encounters in this European competition.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Ajax's last 7 home games in the UCL.
Predicted lineup for Ajax (4-3-3)
Vitezslav Jaros – Anton Goei, Ko Itakura, Juri Bass, Lucas Rosa – Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oscar Gloukh – Raul Moro, Mika Godts, Wout Weghorst.
Midfielder Branco van den Boomen, as well as forwards Kasper Dolberg and Steven Berghuis, will be unavailable due to injuries. Midfielder Kenneth Taylor is suspended.
Galatasaray
Okan Buruk's side defeated Bodo/Glimt 3-1 at home in the last round. As a result, Galatasaray secured their second consecutive victory in the Champions League. However, the team once again failed to keep a clean sheet – for the 12th time in their last 13 matches in this European competition. The club is positioned 14th in the group stage standings with six points.
- The Turks have lost their last four away matches in the Champions League.
- Both opponents scored in 5 of the last 6 away games in this European competition.
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the UCL.
Predicted lineup for Galatasaray (4-5-1)
Ugurcan Cakir – Roland Sallai, Davinson Sanchez, Abdulkadir Bardakci, Ismail Jakobs – Lucas Torreira, Mario Lemina, Gabriel Sara, Baris Yilmaz, Leroy Sane – Victor Osimhen.
Midfielders Yunus Akgun and Ilkay Gundogan will be unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Benoit Bastien (France)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 65;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Ajax vs. Galatasaray: Match Prediction
The Amsterdam side is not very stable in home matches in the Champions League, but they often manage to perform well in attack: over their last ten home games in this European competition, Ajax has scored a total of 18 goals. However, they have only kept a clean sheet once in their last six home matches in the UCL, conceding a total of 14 goals during this period.
The Turks are also effective in attack and regularly score even on the road: in 8 of their last 9 away games in the Champions League, the team has scored, and in five instances during this period, Galatasaray managed to find the net at least twice. On the other hand, the club cannot boast a reliable defense: in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament, the Turks have conceded, and in nine cases, at least twice.
I expect a high-scoring encounter in this match. My prediction: Total over 3 goals