The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Ajax (Netherlands) and Galatasaray (Turkey) will take place on November 5 at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam. Ajax vs. Galatasaray: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Ajax
Johnny Heitinga's side, along with Benfica, are among the only two clubs yet to earn a point in the group stage. Ajax first lost to Inter and Marseille without scoring a single goal, and then suffered a heavy defeat against Chelsea (1-5). Moreover, the club has conceded 11 goals in total, the worst record in this season's Champions League alongside Eintracht. The Amsterdam side sits at the bottom of the standings.
- The team has lost 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Champions League.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of the last 9 home fixtures in this European competition.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Ajax's last 7 home games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Ajax (4-3-3)
Vitezslav Jaros – Anton Goei, Ko Itakura, Jurrien Timber, Lucas Rosa – Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oscar Gloukh – Raul Moro, Mika Godts, Wout Weghorst.
Midfielder Branco van den Boomen, as well as forwards Kasper Dolberg and Steven Berghuis, will miss out due to injuries. Midfielder Kenneth Taylor is suspended.
Galatasaray
Okan Buruk's side defeated Bodo/Glimt 3-1 at home in the last round. As a result, Galatasaray secured their second consecutive victory in the Champions League. However, the team once again failed to keep a clean sheet, for the 12th time in their last 13 matches in this European competition. The club is positioned 14th with six points.
- The Turks have lost their last four away matches in the Champions League.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 away games in this European competition.
- The club conceded at least two goals in 5 of the last 6 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Galatasaray (4-5-1)
Ugurcan Cakir – Roland Sallai, Davinson Sanchez, Abdülkerim Bardakci, Ismail Jakobs – Lucas Torreira, Mario Lemina, Yunus Akgun, Baris Yilmaz, Leroy Sane – Victor Osimhen.
Midfielder Ilkay Gundogan will be unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Benoit Bastien (France)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 65;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 29%.
Ajax vs. Galatasaray: Match Prediction
The Amsterdam side is not very stable in home fixtures within the Champions League, but they often manage to show attacking prowess: in the last ten home games in this European competition, Ajax has scored a total of 18 goals. However, they have only kept a clean sheet once in their last six home matches in the Champions League, conceding a total of 14 goals in this period.
The Turks are also effective in creating chances and regularly find the net even on the road: in 8 of the last 9 away encounters in the Champions League, the team has scored, and in five instances during this period, Galatasaray managed to score at least twice. On the other hand, the club cannot boast a reliable defense: in 10 of the last 11 away matches in this tournament, the Turks conceded, and in nine cases, they let in at least two goals.
I expect a high-scoring match. My prediction: Total over 3 goals
