The Matchday 31 clash in La Liga between Alaves and Real Madrid will take place on April 13 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Alaves
Eduardo Coudet's side secured a crucial victory in the last round, defeating Girona 1-0 away. The club is currently in 17th place, but this win has allowed them to move two points clear of the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that in their last five La Liga matches, the team has suffered only one defeat (2 wins and 2 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of Alaves's last 10 matches in La Liga.
- The club has failed to score in the first half in 7 of their last 9 home games in the league.
- The Basques have recorded only one win in their last eight home matches in La Liga (3 draws and 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-3-3)
Antonio Sivera – Abdel Abqar, Manu Sanchez, Moussa Diarra, Santiago Mourino – Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordan, Jon Guridi – Kike Garcia, Carlos Martin, Carlos Vicente.
Three players will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation: forward Tomas Konechni, goalkeeper Antonio Sivera, and midfielder Jon Guridi.
Real Madrid
In the last round, the team surprised many by losing 1-2 at home to Valencia. It's noteworthy that Valencia had not won an away game in the current championship before this. The capital team remains in second place in the standings, but their gap from leaders Barcelona has increased to four points. Interestingly, Real Madrid hasn't had this few points after 30 rounds in La Liga since the 2018/19 season (when they had six points fewer).
- Both teams have scored in Real Madrid's last five matches in the league.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Real Madrid's last 10 matches in La Liga.
- The club has failed to score in the second half in their last four away games in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (3-5-2)
Fran Gonzalez – Antonio Rudiger, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Brahim Diaz – Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.
Due to injuries, defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, Dani Carvajal, and goalkeeper Andriy Lunin are out. Additionally, head coach Carlo Ancelotti will be absent from the bench due to yellow card accumulation.
Referee
Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
Matches – 17 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 24%.
Match Prediction: Alaves vs. Real Madrid
Real Madrid approach this match after an away game in the Champions League against Arsenal. The team is finding it increasingly difficult to maintain such a high pace as the season draws to a close. This is already evident in Real Madrid's La Liga performances: in their last nine matches, the club has only secured four wins (2 draws and 3 losses), and only once in this span have they won by a margin of two or more goals.
The Basques, on the other hand, have calmly prepared for the upcoming round and will approach this match in full physical readiness. Alaves desperately need points, so they will try not to lose to one of La Liga's leaders. Eduardo Coudet's side is excellent at defending, especially at home, where in their last nine La Liga matches, they have only conceded more than one goal once. Additionally, the Basques have lost by a margin of two or more goals only once in their last 10 home matches in La Liga. Meanwhile, Real Madrid has only one win by more than one goal in their last seven away matches in the league.
My prediction – Alaves with a handicap (+1)