The Matchday 33 clash in La Liga between Alaves and Real Sociedad will take place on April 23 at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Alaves
The Basques recently drew 1-1 away against Sevilla. Notably, in their last 12 La Liga matches, the club has only secured two victories (5 draws and 5 losses). Due to this poor run, Eduardo Coudet's side finds themselves among the relegation contenders. However, they are just one point away from the safety of 17th place.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Alaves' last 8 La Liga matches.
- At least one team failed to score in the club's last five home league games.
- The Basques have not scored more than one goal in their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-4-2)
Jesus Owono – Moussa Diarra, Aleksandar Sedlar, Nahuel Tenaglia, Facundo Garces – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Joan Jordan, Carles Alena – Kike Garcia, Carlos Vicente.
Real Sociedad
San Sebastian's side also ended their last match in a draw, sharing the points with Villarreal in a 2-2 away fixture. Previously, they suffered a surprising 0-2 home defeat to Mallorca. Despite their modest ninth position in the table, the Basques still have a strong chance of finishing in a European spot, as they are just one point behind seventh-placed Celta. It's worth noting that Imanol Alguacil's team has scored only 32 goals, with only three teams in La Liga having fewer.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Real Sociedad's last 12 La Liga matches.
- Two or more goals were scored in the second half in 9 of the Basques' last 11 league games.
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 8 away league matches (2 draws and 5 wins).
Predicted lineup for Real Sociedad (4-4-2)
Alejandro Remiro – Jon Martin, Aritz Elustondo, Aihen Munoz, Amari Traore – Sergio Gomez, Luka Sucic, Pablo Marin Tejada, Benat Turrientes – Takefusa Kubo, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Referee
Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
Matches – 17 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 94;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.5;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
The upcoming match is unlikely to be thrilling or high-scoring. Both teams have averaged around one goal per match this season. Alaves have struggled at home this campaign, amassing just 16 points (19th in the league for home games). They have scored only 11 goals at home, with an average of 1.8 goals per home match.
Real Sociedad have only managed to beat Las Palmas in their last eight away La Liga matches. The Canaries have scored just 15 goals in their last 16 away league games, with an average of 2.1 goals per match. It's also worth noting that head-to-head encounters have not been high-scoring affairs: in the last seven league meetings, no more than two goals have been scored.
My prediction: Total under 2 goals
* Each team's lineup reflects their starting XI from their last match in this tournament.
