The Matchday 28 Premier League clash between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place on 1 March at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs Chelsea: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Arsenal
Arsenal were also involved in a derby last weekend and managed to thrash Tottenham away from home 4:1. The club’s unbeaten run in the league stands at five matches, in which it have drawn twice and recorded three wins, all by comfortable margins. It is also worth adding that in five of their last six league games, the London club have scored at least twice. Arsenal remain top of the Premier League, but their lead over Manchester City is only five points, and the Cityzens have a game in hand. Incidentally, both of these title rivals boast the best attack in the competition, with 56 goals scored apiece. The home side also have the best defence in the league, having conceded just 21 goals.
- In their last 13 Premier League matches, the team have suffered only one defeat (8 wins and 4 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Arsenal’s last six league games.
- The hosts have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight home matches in the Premier League.
Potential Arsenal Lineup (4-3-3)*
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba – Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Eberechi Eze – Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka, Viktor Gyokeres.
Midfielder Mikel Merino is out injured.
Chelsea
Chelsea played their last two Premier League matches at home against sides from the lower part of the table, but did not fully take advantage of the favourable schedule, drawing both fixtures despite leading during the games. First they shared the spoils with Leeds (2:2), and then with Burnley (1:1). At the same time, the team’s unbeaten run in the league has now reached six matches (4 wins and 2 draws). Chelsea are currently fifth and trail the Champions League places by three points. It is also worth noting that only the two league leaders have scored more goals than the visitors (48) in this Premier League campaign.
- Both teams have scored in 10 of the club’s last 11 league matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Chelsea’s last 11 Premier League games.
- The away team have avoided defeat in eight of their last 10 away Premier League matches (5 wins and 3 draws).
Potential Chelsea Lineup (4-5-1)*
Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana, Reece James – Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto – Joao Pedro.
Defenders Levi Colwill and Marc Cucurella, as well as midfielders Jamie Gittens and Dario Essugo, plus goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen, will miss the match through injury. Forward Estevao is a doubt. Defender Wesley Fofana is suspended.
Referee
Darren England (England)
Matches – 16 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 19%.
Arsenal vs Chelsea: Match Prediction
This is the headline fixture of Matchday 28 in the Premier League. Both sides are aiming to finish at least in the Champions League places this season, so even in this showdown they will be determined to take maximum points. At the same time, in recent years Chelsea have found it difficult against their local rivals and have now gone eight straight league head-to-heads without a win (3 draws and 5 defeats). Notably, in the last three Premier League meetings at the Emirates Stadium, the hosts have won every time.
It is also worth adding that Arsenal have won 11 of their last 14 home matches in the Premier League. Chelsea, meanwhile, have failed to win five of their last seven away league games. Alongside a home win in this London derby, we also expect at least two goals. Arsenal are capable of landing that total on their own, as has happened in seven of their last nine home Premier League matches, as well as in six of the last nine head-to-head meetings at this ground in the league. In addition, two or more goals have been scored in each of Chelsea’s last five away Premier League fixtures.
Prediction: Arsenal to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI shown is from their previous match in this competition.