The Matchday 15 fixture in the Premier League between Aston Villa and Arsenal will take place on December 6 at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Aston Villa
The Birmingham side have steadily climbed to third in the table thanks to an incredible run that produced eight wins and only one defeat (0-2 to Liverpool). Unai Emery's men arrive at this fixture on a four-match winning streak. In the previous round Villa were involved in a very entertaining contest, defeating Brighton 4-3 away; notably, the hosts trailed by two goals during the game.
- The team are unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches (8 wins and 2 draws).
- At Villa Park they have won 10 of their last 12 Premier League home games (1 draw and 1 defeat).
- The hosts failed to win the first half in 13 of their previous 16 Premier League matches (9 draws and 4 losses).
Estimated Aston Villa lineup (4-2-3-1)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Jan Matsson, Matty Cash, Pau Torres – Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara – John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Evann Guessand – Ollie Watkins.
Defender Tyrone Mings is sidelined through injury.
Arsenal
The Gunners suffered their only defeat of the current campaign in the third round, after which they compiled an 11-game unbeaten run with eight wins and three draws. In the last round Arsenal beat Brentford 2-0 at the Emirates. The Londoners have recorded 10 Premier League wins so far this season, eight of them by clean sheets. They continue to lead the table with a five-point cushion and boast the best defensive record in the division with just seven goals conceded.
- No more than two goals were scored in six of Arsenal’s last eight Premier League matches.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 20 of their last 21 away league matches (11 wins and 9 draws).
- The club won the second half in eight of their previous 11 away matches in the Premier League.
Estimated Arsenal lineup (4-3-3)
David Raya – Ben White, Piero Hincapié, Christian Mosquera, Riccardo Calafiori – Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke, Mikel Merino.
Forward Leandro Trossard and defenders William Saliba, Christian Mosquera and Gabriel Magalhães are injured. The participation of forward Kai Havertz and midfielder Declan Rice is doubtful.
Referee
Peter Banks (England)
Matches – 10 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Prediction for Aston Villa vs Arsenal
This is the standout fixture of Matchday 15. The league leaders travel to face a third-placed Aston Villa side. Both teams are in excellent form and feature strong defensive records. Expect a cautious, well-organised affair: each side understands that a single mistake could be decisive, so this is unlikely to be a high-scoring game.
Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa are particularly formidable at Villa Park and concede infrequently; in their last nine home Premier League games the hosts have shipped goals in just three. Arsenal are also dangerous on the road but typically register only one or two goals in away fixtures. It’s also worth noting that no more than two goals were scored in six of the last seven league meetings between these sides at Villa Park.
My prediction – Total under 2.5
