The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League quarter-final between Aston Villa (England) and PSG (France) will take place on April 15 at Villa Park in Birmingham. The first match ended 3-1 in favor of PSG. Aston Villa vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Aston Villa
Unai Emery's side lost the first match against PSG 1-3. The Birmingham team scored first (for the fourth consecutive Champions League match), but they couldn't maintain the lead and saw their three-match winning streak in the tournament come to an end. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least three goals. Notably, Aston Villa won their last home Champions League match with such a margin.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 6 matches for the British side in the Champions League.
- The team is unbeaten at home in this tournament (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Aston Villa has conceded in only one home game in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-5-1)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Axel Disasi, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne – John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Jacob Ramsey, Boubacar Kamara – Marcus Rashford.
PSG
The victory in the last match was the seventh in eight recent Champions League encounters for the Parisians. In the current tournament, PSG has scored 28 goals, setting a new club record for scoring in the Champions League. To reach the semi-finals, Luis Enrique's side can even afford to lose by a small margin. If the team loses by exactly two goals, extra time will be played. Notably, in the last four seasons across all European competitions, clubs with a two-goal advantage before the second leg have advanced in 35 out of 38 cases.
- The French team has scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 games in the Champions League.
- PSG is on a four-match winning streak away in this tournament.
- In the last six away matches in the Champions League, PSG has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Jose Maria Sanchez (Spain)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 11%.
Aston Villa vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The first match was dominated by the Parisians, but the British side managed to score on a counterattack. In the return leg, the Birmingham team will need to play much more aggressively, as they need to overcome a two-goal deficit. According to local press reports, Aston Villa will aim for an early goal. The team is quite successful in this aspect.
Unai Emery's side has scored in the 3rd minute three times in this Champions League campaign. They have also scored four times before the 15-minute mark. Only four teams have more goals in this period, but three of them are no longer in the tournament.
The Parisians travel to England seeking victory. At least, this is what Luis Enrique stated, meaning the French team does not intend to sit back and defend their lead. PSG scored three times against the Birmingham side, who spent most of the match defending. Now, the team will have much more space for attacks. In such a situation, goals against Aston Villa could come much quicker – even if the Parisians concede first.
My prediction: Goal before the 15th minute – yes
