The Matchday 13 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Fiorentina will take place on November 30 at the New Balance Arena. Atalanta vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Raffaele Palladino's side fell short against Napoli on the road (1-3). As a result, Atalanta extended their winless streak in the league to eight matches (5 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their last 15 Serie A matches, and for the second time this season, they conceded more than one goal. In the standings, Atalanta sits in 13th place with 13 points.
- The team has not won in 14 of their last 17 home matches in Serie A (9 draws, 5 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 11 of Atalanta's last 15 home league games.
- Atalanta has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-5-2)
Marco Carnesecchi – Honest Ahanor, Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien – Raoul Bellanova, Ederson Lourenco, Mario Pasalic, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini is unavailable due to injury.
Fiorentina
Paolo Vanoli's team drew 1-1 with Juventus in their last home match. Consequently, Fiorentina extended their winless streak in the league to 12 games (6 draws, 6 losses). Notably, the Florence side set a new club record for the most matches without a win at the start of a Serie A season. Additionally, Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their last 18 league matches. In the standings, Fiorentina moved up to the penultimate position with six points.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The team conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 15 of their last 18 away league games.
- Fiorentina has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Luca Ranieri, Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari – Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Simon Zom, Fabiano Parisi – Moise Kean, Roberto Piccoli.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tariq Lamptey, along with forward Christian Kouame, will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Matteo Marchenaro (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 0%.
Atalanta vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Both teams are experiencing tough times. Atalanta is in the lower half of the table and rarely delights their fans with results, even at home. In their last 17 home Serie A matches, the team has secured only three victories, with one of those wins being by just one goal. Furthermore, this season, Atalanta has only once surpassed the one-goal mark in six home games.
Fiorentina has yet to win in the current Serie A season. However, the team has fought for results until the end in most matches, offering decent resistance even against the top teams in the league, including away games. In their last seven away Serie A encounters, Fiorentina has suffered only two defeats, and only once did they lose by more than one goal margin – against Inter.
I expect the visitors to put up a fight against Atalanta, so my prediction: Fiorentina with a handicap (+1)
