The Matchday 34 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Lecce will take place on April 27 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Lecce: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side emerged victorious against AC Milan in their previous away fixture (1-0). As a result, Atalanta secured back-to-back wins in the league for the first time in 2025. Notably, the team has kept a clean sheet in seven of their last ten Serie A matches. The club has accumulated 64 points and remains in third place in the league standings. It's worth mentioning that Atalanta has scored 66 goals this season, second only to Inter's 72.
- The team has failed to win 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (4 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of the club's last 8 home league games.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in Atalanta's last five home matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Raoul Bellanova – Juan Cuadrado, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Sead Kolasinac, Stefan Posch, and Giorgio Scalvini, as well as forward Gianluca Scamacca, are sidelined due to injuries.
Lecce
In the last round, Marco Giampaolo's side was unable to counter Como at home, losing 0-3. Consequently, Lecce suffered their seventh defeat in the last eight matches, marking their seventh heavy loss this Serie A season. Furthermore, the club failed to score for only the second time in their last six league games. Lecce is currently 17th in the standings with 26 points, just one point clear of the relegation zone. It's also worth noting that the team has scored the fewest goals in this Serie A campaign (23).
- The club has not won in 7 of their last 9 away matches in Serie A (1 draw, 6 losses).
- The team has not conceded in the second half in their last five away league matches.
- Lecce has scored in 7 of their last 10 away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Danilo Veiga – Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Thorir Helgason, Tete Morente, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Krstovic.
Defender Gabi Jean is out due to injury. Midfielder Medon Berisha and forward Nikola Krstovic are suspended.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 27%.
Atalanta vs. Lecce: Match Prediction
Recently, Gian Piero Gasperini's side has slowed down in home matches, scoring less frequently than before. While Atalanta scored at least two goals in their first eight home games this season, they have only managed to score more than once in two of their last eight. Moreover, in 4 of their last 5 home Serie A matches, Atalanta has failed to break through opponents' defenses.
Lecce struggles in away fixtures, and this season, the team has rarely excelled in attack. In 16 away Serie A matches this season, the club has surpassed one goal only twice, and in nine games, Lecce failed to score at all. However, the team has been solid defensively, not conceding more than two goals in their last five away matches.
Considering all pre-match factors, I do not expect a high-scoring encounter. My prediction: Total under 3 goals