The 22nd-round Serie A match between Atalanta and Parma will take place on 25 January at New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Atalanta vs Parma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round Atalanta dropped points in an away game against Pisa (1:1). Thus, the home side ended a three-match winning run in the league. In addition, the club conceded only the second goal in its previous six Serie A matches. In the league table the home side, with 32 points, sits in seventh place.
- The team has not lost in 9 of its last 11 home Serie A matches (5 wins, 4 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 7 of the club’s last 9 home league matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of the home side’s last 8 Serie A matches at this ground.
Potential Atalanta Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Isak Hien, Giorgio Scalvini, Onest Ahanor – Nikola Zalewski, Mario Pasalic, Marten de Roon, Lorenzo Bernasconi – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Yunus Musa.
Midfielder Raoul Bellanova is injured.
Parma
In the previous round Parma held Genoa to a goalless draw at home (0:0). As a result, the visiting team has avoided defeat in 5 of its last 6 Serie A matches (2 wins, 3 draws). At the same time the club scored more than once in only one of its previous nine league meetings. On the other hand, the visiting team kept a clean sheet for the seventh time in the current Serie A campaign. Parma has 23 points and sits in 13th place in the table.
- The club has not lost in 7 of its last 8 away league matches (3 wins, 4 draws).
- The team scored in 5 of its last 6 away Serie A matches.
- Parma conceded at most one goal in 7 of its last 8 away league matches.
Potential Parma Lineup (4-3-3)*
Edoardo Corvi – Enrico Del Prato, Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Cirkati – Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Nahuel Estevez – Mateo Pellegrino, Patrick Cutrone, Jakob Ondrejka.
First-choice goalkeeper Zion Suzuki, defender Abdulayi Ndiaye, and forwards Pontus Almqvist and Mattia Frigan will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Gianluca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellow) – 15;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 3;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Average Per Match – 30;
Penalties – 20%.
Atalanta vs Parma: Match Prediction
The home side are having an average season and are not competing for very high places at the moment. Even playing at home rarely helps to fully demonstrate their best qualities, and in the previous campaign the club did not sparkle on its own turf. Atalanta have recorded only seven wins in their last 22 home Serie A matches (9 draws, 6 defeats), and in three of those wins the team prevailed by a single-goal margin.
Parma, meanwhile, look solid on the road recently and regularly collect points: in their last eight away league matches the club lost only once (3 wins, 4 draws). The only defeat in that stretch was by a minimal margin against Roma. In addition, in the last away Serie A outing Parma stood up to Napoli (0:0).
We expect a strong resistance from the visitors, and our prediction:
Prediction: Parma (+1.5)
* For each team the starting lineup from its previous match in this tournament is indicated.
