The match of the 18th round of the Serie A between Atalanta and Roma will take place on 3 january at New Balance Arena. Atalanta vs Roma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atalanta
Atalanta were weaker than Inter in the most recent home meeting (0:1). Thus, the home team suffered its fifth defeat in eight Serie A matches (3 wins) and, for the first time in six league matches, failed to score. In addition, the home team failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of the previous 10 Serie A matches. In the standings Atalanta sit in tenth place with 22 points.
- The club is unbeaten in 7 of the last 9 home Serie A matches (3 wins, 4 draws).
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 5 of the last 7 home league matches.
- The home side conceded more than one goal in only 1 of the last 9 matches at home in the Serie A.
Potential Atalanta Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Mario Pasalic.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini is unavailable due to injury. In addition, defender Odilon Kossounou and forward Ademola Lookman are absent because of participation in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Roma
Roma defeated Genoa 3:1 at home in the previous round. That was the club's 11th win in the current championship. In addition, the visitors managed to score more than two goals only for the second time in the present Serie A campaign. It is also worth noting that the club has the best defence in the current championship – 11 goals conceded. Roma have collected 33 points and sit fourth in the standings.
- The club has not lost in 15 of the last 19 away Serie A matches (12 wins, 3 draws).
- The away side scored more than once in only 2 of the last 8 away league matches.
- A maximum of two goals were scored in 12 of the last 16 away Serie A matches for the visitors.
Potential Roma Lineup (3-4-3)*
Mile Svilar – Jan Zelkowski, Gianluca Mancini, Zeki Celik – Wesley Fransa, Kouadio Kone, Bryan Cristante, Mario Ermoso – Matias Soule, Paulo Dybala, Evan Ferguson.
Midfielders Lorenzo Pellegrini and Tommaso Baldanzi, as well as forward Leon, will miss the match due to injuries. In addition, defender Evan Ndicka and midfielder Nel El-Enawi are absent because of participation in the Africa Cup of Nations.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 5 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls average per match – 27;
Penalties – 20%.
Atalanta vs Roma: Match Prediction
This season has been difficult for the home side, and one of the most noticeable problems has been the attack. Even at home Atalanta regularly struggle to break down opponents: in nine home matches in the current Serie A campaign the home team managed to score more than one goal only three times. In addition, the home side failed to score in three of those matches.
Roma rely on cautious football and try to devote as much time as possible to reliable defensive actions. This approach often helps to protect their goal and prevent opponents from creating many chances: in the last 17 away league matches the visitors conceded more than one goal only twice and kept nine clean sheets. As noted above, the club has conceded the fewest goals in the current Serie A season.
We do not think the hosts will be able to score more than one goal in this match.
Prediction: Atalanta Individual Total Under 1.5
* The starting lineup for each team is taken from its previous match in this competition.