The Serie A matchday 28 clash between Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio and Udinese Calcio will take place on 7 March at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio vs Udinese Calcio: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio
Until the last round, Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio put together an impressive run—nine straight matches in which they took points. Particularly noteworthy were the win over Roma (1:0), who boast the best defence in the league, and a comeback victory against Napoli (2:1). However, after such a strong spell in the league and a tough, emotionally draining Champions League game, the home team lost away to Sassuolo 1:2. Even so, even a win in that match would not have guaranteed European qualification, given how tight the race has been in Serie A this season. At present, after 27 rounds, Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio sit seventh with 45 points.
In 14 home matches in Serie A this season, the team have recorded eight wins (four draws, two defeats).
In nine of their last 10 league matches, Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio have scored at least once.
On home soil, the club have not conceded more than one goal in eight consecutive matches in this competition.
Potential Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio Lineup (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Giorgio Scalvini, Onest Ohanor – Nicola Zalewski, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Lazar Samardzic, Davide Zappacosta – Marten de Roon, Ederson, Nikola Krstovic.
Midfielder Charles De Ketelaere, Ederson and forward Giacomo Raspadori are injured.
Udinese Calcio
After a run of three defeats, Udinese Calcio managed to halt their slump by confidently dealing with Fiorentina (3:0) in the previous round, not even allowing their opponents a shot on target. Overall, across the season, the away team under Kosta Runjaic have clearly lacked consistency. On the one hand, there have been wins over Roma and Napoli, both without conceding. On the other, there was a defeat to Lecce, who—despite having one of the weakest attacks in the league—managed to score twice. Even so, despite those results, Udinese Calcio are holding steady in mid-table. The club currently sit 10th and, with a high degree of probability, will be playing in Serie A next season—the only question is what position they will finish in this campaign.
In their last 13 away league matches, the team have recorded five wins (one draw, seven defeats).
In their last six away matches in Serie A, Udinese Calcio have conceded at least one goal.
No more than three goals were scored in the club’s previous five league matches.
Potential Udinese Calcio Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Maduka Okoye – Nicola Bertola, Thomas Kristensen, Umar Soule – Arthur Atta, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Jordan Zemura, Jesper Karlstrom, Lennon Miller, Kingsley Ehizibue – Vakoun Bayo
Midfielder Alessandro Zanoli, Arthur Atta and defender Umar Soule-Bomawoko will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Antonio Rapuano (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match (average) – 28;
Penalties – 40%.
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio vs Udinese Calcio: Match Prediction
Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio’s schedule puts the team in a difficult position. On the one hand, there is a home match against the Munich side ahead, where the hosts will look to get the most out of it before travelling to the Allianz Arena. On the other, there is the Coppa Italia and a league game against Udinese Calcio. Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio clearly have no intention of gifting their opponents points, but it is also hard to talk about a win. Perhaps for the first time this season, the team are facing a situation where every match carries major significance in one competition or another. They will want to be fresh for the meeting with the Munich side, but Raffaele Palladino is unlikely to rotate heavily. Any slip-up against Udinese Calcio, or in subsequent league matches, could seriously complicate the fight for a European place.
Udinese Calcio are far from the relegation zone, and moving above eighth place is unlikely. The club are not involved in other tournaments, so their only objective is to improve their league position and prepare for next season. It is worth noting that in the last four head-to-head meetings between these sides, there have never been more than three goals scored, and in none of those matches did the Bergamo side lose. Given Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio’s congested schedule, we would suggest the team will play pragmatically, without wasting unnecessary energy. However, we should add that on home soil the club have won five straight matches and conceded just twice during that run.
Prediction: Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio double chance + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this competition is listed.