The Matchday 33 clash in La Liga between Athletic and Las Palmas will take place on April 23 at the San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. Athletic vs. Las Palmas: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Athletic
The Basques suffered their fifth defeat of the current La Liga season in the last round. Ernesto Valverde's side, playing away, lost 0-1 to Real Madrid, conceding the only goal of the match in the 90th minute. Interestingly, the club has matched the top three teams in terms of losses in the championship. Athletic remains in fourth place in the table, five points ahead of their closest pursuer.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of Athletic's last 7 matches in La Liga.
- Athletic has lost only twice in their last 23 league games (11 wins and 10 draws).
- The team is unbeaten in their last 13 home matches in La Liga (8 wins and 5 draws).
Projected lineup for Athletic (4-3-3)
Unai Simón – Andoni Gorosabel, Adama Boiro, Unai Núñez, Aitor Paredes – Unai Gómez, Beñat Prados, Mikel Vesga – Álvaro Djalo, Gorka Guruzeta, Álex Berenguer.
Las Palmas
Diego Martínez's side successfully played their last two league matches, securing two consecutive victories. First, they defeated Getafe away (1-3), and in the last round, they unexpectedly beat Atlético Madrid at home with a score of 1-0. Before these wins, the Canaries had not won in La Liga for 12 matches (4 draws and 8 losses). Thanks to these victories, the club has moved out of the relegation zone but is only one point clear.
- Both teams scored in 11 of Las Palmas's last 14 matches in La Liga.
- The club has won only one first half in their last 18 league games (10 draws and 7 losses).
- The Canaries have scored in 6 of their last 7 away matches in La Liga.
Projected lineup for Las Palmas (3-5-2)
Dinko Horkas – Mika Marmol, Álex Suárez, Scott McKenna – Stefan Bajcetic, Javier Muñoz, Viti Rosada, Dário Essugo, Alberto Moleiro – Oliver McBurnie, Fábio Silva.
Midfielder Javier Muñoz will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos (Spain)
Matches – 15 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 71;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 20%.
Athletic vs. Las Palmas: Match Prediction
Despite the difference in standings, the upcoming match will be challenging for the Basques. Both the hosts and the visitors are motivated for the remaining matches. The Canaries need to avoid slipping back into the relegation zone, from which they have just escaped. Diego Martínez's side is likely to take points from San Mamés, or lose by a narrow margin.
Athletic rarely defeats their opponents by a comfortable scoreline. In their last 15 league matches, the Basques have won by a margin of two or three goals only three times. Although Las Palmas has lost half of their matches in the current La Liga season, they are not easy to beat. In their last 10 La Liga matches, the Canaries have only lost by more than one goal twice. Additionally, they have not lost by such a margin in 7 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters in the league.
My prediction: Las Palmas with a handicap (+1.5)