The 20th round La Liga match between Atlético Madrid and Deportivo Alavés will take place on 18 january at Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium. Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid last played in the Spanish championship two weeks ago, when the home side managed only a 1:1 draw away at Real Sociedad. As a result, the home side failed to extend a brief two-match winning run in La Liga. Over the past five league matches the team has taken just seven points. They finished the first half of the La Liga season in 4th place, eleven points behind Barcelona. It is worth noting that since the start of the current league season the squad have conceded 17 goals – the best defensive record alongside Real Madrid and Villarreal. Equally important, in La Liga the home side remain unbeaten at home, having taken 25 points from 27 possible – only Barcelona (27) have more.
- Atlético scored in 20 of their last 21 La Liga matches.
- The club is unbeaten in 13 consecutive home league matches (12 wins, 1 draw).
- The hosts' scoring run at home stretches to 26 games.
Potential Atlético Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Ganczko, Matteo Ruggeri – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Álex Baena, Giuliano Simeone – Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez.
Defender Clément Lenglet and midfielder Nicolás González are unavailable due to injury.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés are slipping down the table and are getting closer to the relegation zone. A week ago the visitors lost 1:3 to Villarreal, extending their winless run in La Liga to four matches (1 draw, 3 defeats). Over their last eight league games the club have taken just one win, and that sole success came at home. On the road the visitors have failed to collect three points in seven consecutive La Liga away matches, with six of those ending in defeats. Deportivo Alavés sit 16th in the league, just two points above the drop zone.
- The club conceded in 9 of their last 10 La Liga games.
- In the current La Liga season the visitors have scored a total of 16 goals, fewer only than Getafe (15) and Oviedo (9).
- At least one team failed to score in 8 of Deportivo Alavés' last 11 away league matches.
Potential Deportivo Alavés Lineup (4-5-1)*
Antonio Sivera – Jon Pacheco, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jony, Víctor Parada – Antonio Blanco, Carles Aleñá, Pablo Ibáñez, Jon Guridi, Carlos Vicente – Toni Martínez.
The participation of forward Lucas Boyé is in doubt.
Referee
Guillermo Cuadra (Spain)
Matches – 9 (the La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Match Prediction
Atlético Madrid cannot yet catch the leaders, with their main issue being occasional slips away from home. At home the side are almost impeccable: after drawing in the second round the club have since recorded eight consecutive league wins. There is a great chance to extend that run, since the hosts have won each of their last seven La Liga meetings with Deportivo Alavés at home. It is worth noting that five of those seven fixtures produced over results, but only one saw more than three goals.
Deportivo Alavés are gradually sliding towards the relegation zone. In their last eight La Liga rounds the club have managed just one victory and suffered six defeats. Playing away, the visitors have lost six consecutive matches in this tournament, and overall since the start of the season the team have taken only four points – fewer only than Valencia (3) and Osasuna (2). Expecting a spectacle here is difficult, as 10 of Deportivo Alavés' last 13 away league games saw a maximum of two goals scored.
Prediction: Atlético Madrid To Win + Under 3.5 Goals
* For each team the starting lineup is indicated from their previous match in this competition.