The return leg of the 2025/26 Champions League play-off tie between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Club Brugge (Belgium) will take place on 24 February at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The score in the first leg was 3:3. Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Following the first meeting with Club Brugge, the club’s winless run in the Champions League has now reached three matches (two draws, one defeat). Notably, due to frequent defensive mistakes, Atletico still have no clean sheets in the current European campaign, while the Spanish side themselves have failed to score in just one match, against Arsenal (0:4). Overall, the team have found the net in 16 of their last 17 Champions League games. We should also add that eight of the last nine matches involving the Madrid club in this tournament have gone over. To avoid extra time, Atletico need to win in 90 minutes.
- Both teams scored in 10 of the Spanish side’s previous 11 home matches in the Champions League.
- The club’s scoring run at home in this European competition has lasted 15 matches.
- Atletico’s uncompromising home run in the Champions League stands at 14 matches (12 wins, two defeats).
Potential Atletico Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri – Johnny Cardoso, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Giuliano Simeone – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.
Midfielders Pablo Barrios and Nicolas Gonzalez will miss out through injury.
Club Brugge
Thanks to their comeback last Wednesday, the Belgians are unbeaten in three consecutive Champions League matches (two wins, one draw). Moreover, in each of those games Club Brugge scored at least three goals. At the same time, conceding three goals has happened to the team for the fifth time in their last seven European matches. Since the start of the Champions League league phase, the club have kept just one clean sheet in their previous nine games. It is slightly concerning that across their last eight matches in this tournament, Club Brugge have managed only two wins while losing four times.
- The Belgians have gone five away Champions League matches without keeping a clean sheet.
- The club’s uncompromising away run in this European competition totals nine games (four wins, five defeats).
- Club Brugge scored in 10 of their last 13 Champions League matches.
Potential Club Brugge Lineup (4-5-1)
Simon Mignolet – Kyriani Sabbe, Brandon Mechele, Joel Ordonez, Joaquin Seys – Aleksandar Stankovic, Carlos Borges, Hans Vanaken, Mamadou Diakone, Romeo Vermant – Nicolo Tresoldi.
Midfielder Raphael Nwadike is suspended. The club’s injury list includes midfielder Lynnt Audoor and goalkeeper Dani van den Heuvel.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Yellow cards per match on average – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 25;
Penalties – 78%.
Atletico Madrid vs Club Brugge: Match Prediction
A draw away from home in the first leg is a perfectly acceptable outcome for Atletico. Now the Spanish side return home, and on their own ground they have failed to win in 90 minutes in only one of their last seven Champions League matches. The team also regularly play in high-scoring contests: in six of those seven games, at least three goals were scored. Even when including away matches, eight of Atletico’s last nine Champions League fixtures have gone over.
Club Brugge showed character in front of their own fans, but repeating something similar away from home will be much more difficult. In the league phase of this season’s Champions League, the Belgians lost three of their last four away matches. They avoided defeat only away to Kairat (4:1), and in two cases the team lost by a heavy scoreline. We should also note that, regardless of the result, all four of those matches went over. And in general, wherever Club Brugge have played, the three-goal line has been passed in each of the club’s last 12 Champions League matches.
Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win + Over 2.5 goals