The Matchday 5 clash in the Champions League 2025/26 between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Inter Milan (Italy) will take place on November 26 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
In the previous round, Diego Simeone's side overcame Union in a home encounter (3-1). This victory marked Atletico's second win in the current Champions League campaign. However, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine matches in this European competition. In the group stage standings, the club has six points, placing them 17th. Notably, the Madrid side has won 8 of their last 10 home European encounters against Italian teams.
- The team has won 11 of their last 12 home matches in the Champions League.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Atletico's last 9 home games in this competition.
- The Madrid side conceded exactly one goal in 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Juan Musso – Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, David Ganzko, Matteo Ruggeri – Alex Baena, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Nicolas Gonzalez – Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth.
First-choice goalkeeper Jan Oblak and defender Robin Le Normand are injured. The participation of defender Marcos Llorente and forward Giuliano Simeone is doubtful due to injuries.
Inter Milan
Christian Chivu's side secured three points in a tough encounter against Kairat at home (2-1) in the last round. Inter Milan has been flawless in this Champions League campaign with four wins in four matches and a goal difference of 11:1. Additionally, the team extended their unbeaten run in regular time in this European competition to 12 matches (9 wins, 3 draws). The Italians are third in the group stage standings, trailing Arsenal and Bayern only on tiebreakers. It's worth noting that the Milan side has not lost in 7 of their last 8 European encounters against Spanish teams (3 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has not lost in their last six away matches in the Champions League (5 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has scored at least twice in their last five away games in this competition.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of Inter Milan's last 9 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Inter Milan (3-5-2)
Yann Sommer – Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Francesco Acerbi – Carlos Augusto, Petar Sucic, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Defender Matteo Darmian and midfielder Henrikh Mkhitaryan will not play due to injuries. Defender Denzel Dumfries is also at risk of missing the match due to an injury.
Referee
Francois Letexier (France)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Inter Milan: Match Prediction
Recently, the Spanish side has been almost impeccable at home: 11 wins in 12 Champions League matches. These results have been achieved thanks to Atletico's effective attacking play: they have scored at least twice in ten matches during this period. However, defensive errors are frequent, as the club has failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 home games in this competition.
The Milan side will likely exploit the opponent's defensive weaknesses: the team has no issues with scoring and regularly finds the net even in away matches. In their last six away games in the Champions League, Inter Milan has never left the field without scoring, netting a total of 14 goals during this period. Additionally, the Italians have breached Atletico's defense in both of their previous head-to-head meetings in the Champions League.
I expect both teams to score in this match, so my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
