The Matchday 6 clash in La Liga between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano will take place on September 24 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
By their standards, the team is delivering unconvincing results in La Liga. Five rounds have passed, and the club has only collected six points – the lowest tally for Atletico under Diego Simeone in many years, with the last poorer start being in the 2009/10 season when they earned just three points from their first five league matches. Notably, in their previous La Liga encounter, the team shared points with Mallorca, marking their third draw in the current tournament – only Celta has more draws (5). Atletico is currently placed 12th in the standings.
- Atletico has not lost in 6 of their last 7 La Liga matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- The club's scoring streak in this tournament has reached 7 games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Atletico's last 7 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clément Lenglet, David Gantzko – Nicolas Gonzalez, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone – Giacomo Raspadori, Julian Alvarez.
Midfielders Thiago Almada and Alex Baena, as well as defender Jose Maria Gimenez, are unavailable due to injuries. Forward Alexander Sorloth is suspended.
Rayo Vallecano
The club started the La Liga season with a victory over Girona, but subsequently, Rayo Vallecano failed to win in four consecutive league matches (2 draws, 2 losses). Although during this stretch, the club surprisingly took points from Barcelona (1-1), it is important to note that the upset occurred at home. In their last two away La Liga matches, Inigo Perez's side lost to Athletic and Osasuna, failing to score. In terms of league standings, Rayo Vallecano is in 14th place with 5 points from 5 rounds.
- The team won with a handicap (+1.5) in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Rayo Vallecano's uncompromising away streak in the league stands at 11 games (5 wins, 6 losses).
- The club has conceded at least one goal in their last 5 La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Rayo Vallecano (4-4-2)
Augusto Batalla – Pathé Ciss, Florian Lejeune, Andrei Ratiu, Alfonso Espino – Pedro Diaz, Oscar Valentin, Alvaro Garcia, Jorge de Frutos – Isi Palazon, Sergio Camello.
Referee
Alejandro Jose Hernandez (Spain)
Matches – 21 (La Liga, 2024/2025 - 2025/2026);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 110;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.2;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 43%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match Prediction
Atletico is experiencing their worst start in La Liga in many years, but now Diego Simeone's side has a chance to improve their position against one of their most favorable opponents. While Rayo Vallecano is known for being combative and resilient, head-to-head encounters with Atletico have often been unfavorable: the club has not won in the Madrid derby for 16 consecutive La Liga meetings, with 13 of these matches ending in defeat. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano struggles particularly, having secured at least one point in only 1 of their last 11 league encounters at Atletico's ground.
It should be noted that Atletico is generally very dangerous at home. The club's home unbeaten streak in La Liga stands at 6 matches, with 5 of them resulting in victories. Additionally, the team has scored in 19 consecutive home games in La Liga, and in 6 of their last 7 matches in this series, Atletico has scored at least 2 goals.
In my opinion, despite all the problems, the hosts should also win this time. Prediction – Atletico Win