The Matchday 27 clash in Ligue 1 between Auxerre and Montpellier will take place on March 30 at the Stade Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre vs. Montpellier: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Auxerre
Auxerre finished their previous league match against Nice with a 1-1 draw. Thus, the club has avoided defeat in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 games (2 wins, 3 draws). Additionally, Auxerre has been consistently finding the back of the net in recent league matches, scoring in 7 of their last 8 encounters. However, the team still has a negative goal difference this season in Ligue 1 – 37:39. In the French top division standings, the club is in 11th place, with a solid 11-point cushion above the relegation playoff zone.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- At home, the club has not lost in 10 of their last 11 games in this tournament (5 wins, 5 draws).
- Auxerre has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Auxerre (5-4-1)
Donovan Leon – Gideon Mensah, Gabriel Osho, Jubal, Sinaly Diomande, Ki-Jana Hoever – Elisha Owusu, Gaetan Perrin, Keven Danoua, Amad Traore – Theo Bair.
Montpellier
The team's previous Ligue 1 match against Saint-Étienne was halted in the 61st minute with the score at 0-2 due to crowd disturbances. Before that, Montpellier lost six consecutive matches in the French championship. It is the longest active losing streak in the tournament. Unsurprisingly, the club is at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, trailing the safe 15th spot by 8 points. Furthermore, Montpellier has the worst offensive and defensive records in the current championship – 21:59.
- The team's uncompromising streak in Ligue 1 stands at 10 matches (2 wins, 8 losses).
- The club failed to score in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- Montpellier has lost 11 of their last 12 away matches in the French top league (1 win).
Predicted lineup for Montpellier (4-5-1)
Benjamin Lecomte – Falaye Sacko, Modibo Sagnan, Kiki Kouyaté, Théo Sainte-Luce – Rabi N'Jingula, Joris Chotard, Otman Maamma, Téji Savanier, Tanguy Coulibaly – Andy Delort.
Defenders Kiki Kouyaté and Théo Sainte-Luce will miss the game due to yellow card accumulation.
Referee
Marc Bollengier (France)
Matches – 13 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 38%.
Match Prediction: Auxerre vs. Montpellier
The visitors are on the longest losing streak in Ligue 1, which stands at 6 matches. In the previous round, the club was trailing Saint-Étienne 0-2 at home before the game was stopped due to crowd trouble. I do not believe that the struggling Montpellier will be able to end their losing streak in the upcoming match. Auxerre has been in much better form than the visitors both recently and throughout the season. In 2 of their last 4 league matches, Auxerre won with a clean sheet, including a 3-0 victory over one of the current championship leaders, Marseille.
I am confident that Jean-Louis Gasset's team will again face defensive issues. Montpellier has the worst defensive record in Ligue 1 this season and has not kept a clean sheet in 31 consecutive matches, not counting the halted game last round. Auxerre, on the other hand, is strong in attack and consistently scores against opponents. In 5 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches, they have scored at least 2 goals. In the first-round match, which Auxerre lost to their upcoming opponent, they scored twice against Montpellier (2-3).
Therefore, my prediction is a bet on Auxerre Individual Total Over 1.5