The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Bayer (Germany) and Newcastle (England) will take place on December 10 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer vs Newcastle: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer
Leverkusen have significantly improved their prospects of reaching the knockout phase following back-to-back wins. Playing away, the side unexpectedly beat Benfica 1-0 before defeating Manchester City 2-0. As a result, the club have eight points and have climbed to 17th position, just two points shy of the top eight. It is worth noting that prior to the Lisbon fixture the Germans had gone five Champions League games without a win (two draws and three defeats). Bayer have not lost in five of their last six European matches against Premier League opposition (three wins and two draws), keeping a clean sheet on four occasions.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Bayer's last 10 Champions League games.
- At least one team failed to score in 9 of the club's last 11 home matches in this competition.
- Leverkusen have conceded more than one goal in just 2 of their last 8 home Champions League matches.
Probable Bayer XI (3-4-3)
Marc-André ter Stegen – Loïc Bade, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Ernest Poku, Aleix Garcia, Jonas Hofmann, Ibrahima Maza – Malik Tillman, Patrik Schick, Martin Terrier.
Midfielders Ezequiel Fernández and Exequiel Palacios will miss the game through injury.
Newcastle
The Magpies were beaten 2-1 away by Marseille in the last round. That was their second defeat in the current group stage — the campaign began with a 2-1 loss at home to Barcelona. Between those setbacks the team recorded three clean-sheet wins. Eddie Howe's side sit 11th in the group, just one point off the top eight. Notably, Newcastle previously faced Bayer in the 2002/03 Champions League group stage and beat the Germans 3-1 in both meetings. In seven prior matches against Bundesliga opponents, the English side have avoided defeat five times (four wins and one draw).
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 7 of Newcastle's last 8 Champions League matches.
- Newcastle have failed to win in 4 of their last 5 away games in this competition (2 draws and 2 defeats).
- The English side won the first half in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches (1 draw).
Probable Newcastle XI (4-3-3)
Aaron Ramsdale – Valentino Livramento, Malik Tiaw, Fabian Schär, Dan Burn – Bruno Guimarães, Jacob Ramsey, Joelinton – Anthony Gordon, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade.
Injuries rule out goalkeeper Nick Pope, forward Will Osula and defenders Sven Botman and Kieran Trippier.
Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 31;
Penalties – 33%.
Bayer vs Newcastle: Match Prediction
Both teams have realistic chances of progressing to the next round of the Champions League, which means they will be aiming to pick up as many points as possible in the final two matchdays. Bayer's current position forces them to target wins at home, and with their remaining group opponents not among Europe's elite, there is a genuine opportunity to climb into the top eight. I believe the Germans can claim victory in this meeting, given they are at home and boast encouraging recent records against English sides.
Over their last eight home Champions League matches, Bayer have suffered just two defeats — both to strong opponents, Bayern and PSG — while recording four wins and two draws. The hosts rarely concede more than one goal at the BayArena. Meanwhile, Newcastle have managed only one away win in their last five Champions League away ties, beating Union, and that was the only occasion they scored more than once. On that basis I expect the home side not to lose and to likely score more than the visitors.
My prediction – Bayer with handicap (0)