The Matchday 6 fixture of the group stage of the 2025/26 Champions League between Bayern (Germany) and Sporting (Portugal) will take place on December 9 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern – Sporting: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayern
In the last round, Vincent Kompany's side lost 1-3 away to Arsenal, suffering their first defeat of the season across all competitions. Nevertheless, Bayern extended their scoring streak in the Champions League to 12 matches, although the club failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their previous 7 matches in the competition. In the table, the Munich side remain high up with 12 points, sitting third. It is also worth noting that Bayern have never lost at home to Portuguese opponents in European competitions (13 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has won 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the team's last 6 home games in this competition.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bayern's last 7 Champions League matches at home.
Predicted Bayern lineup (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Josip Stanisic – Michael Olise, Joshua Kimmich, Lennart Karl, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Serge Gnabry – Harry Kane.
Defender Alphonso Davies and midfielder Jamal Musiala will miss the match due to injury. Forward Luis Díaz is suspended.
Sporting
In the last round the Lisbon side recorded a comfortable 3-0 home win over Club Brugge. As a result, Sporting notched only their third victory in 11 Champions League matches (3 draws, 5 defeats). The club also kept a clean sheet in this competition for the first time this season. In the table, the Portuguese side have risen to eighth with 10 points. It is also worth noting that Sporting have scored in their last 21 group-stage or main-phase European fixtures and opened the scoring in 4 of their 5 matches in the current Champions League campaign.
- The club has failed to win in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League (4 draws, 4 defeats).
- No more than three goals were scored in each of the team's eight previous away games in this competition.
- The Portuguese side scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted Sporting lineup (4-5-1)
Rui Silva – Ivan Fresneda, Gonçalo Inácio, Ousmane Diomandé, Maximiliano Araújo – Morten Hjulmand, Hidemasa Morita, Geny Catamo, Jeovani Kenda, Francisco Trincão – Luis Suárez.
Defender Zeno Debast, midfielder Daniel Bragança and forwards Nuno Santos and Fotis Ioannidis are sidelined through injury.
Referee
Nicholas Walsh (Scotland)
Matches – 7 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 57%.
Match prediction Bayern – Sporting
With their European experience and squad strength, Bayern rarely struggle to breach an opponent's defence at least once. At home, Bayern score regularly and in volume: they have found the net in their last 12 Champions League home matches, and in five of those fixtures they scored three or more goals. At the same time, their defence is not always flawless — Bayern kept a clean sheet in just two of their last six home Champions League games.
Sporting often play boldly and openly even away from home, which helps them be effective in attack. In their last ten Champions League away matches the Portuguese side failed to score only once, and this season they have scored on the road against Napoli and Juventus. However, Sporting have been vulnerable at the back: they conceded in 7 of their last 9 away Champions League games.
I expect a game between two attack-minded teams to produce goals at both ends. My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
