The first leg of the 2024/25 Europa League quarter-final between Bodo/Glimt (Norway) and Lazio (Italy) will take place on April 10 at the Aspmyra Stadium. Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bodo/Glimt
Kjetil Knutsen's side advanced to the quarter-finals after defeating Twente (1-2, 3-2, extra time 2-0) and Olympiacos (3-0, 1-2) in the playoffs. As a result, Bodo/Glimt reached this stage of a European competition for the second time in their history. It's worth noting that the Norwegians have been highly prolific in the current Europa League campaign, leading the scoring charts with 24 goals.
- The club has won 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Europa League in regular time.
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in seven of the team's previous home encounters in this European competition.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 6 of Bodo/Glimt's last 7 home games in the Europa League.
Predicted lineup for Bodo/Glimt (4-3-3)
Nikita Haikin – Fredrik Bjorkan, Ole Blomberg, Jostein Gundersen, Odin Bjortuft – Ulrik Saltnes, Patrick Berg, Hakon Evjen – Fredrik Sjoevolld, Kasper Heg, Jens Petter Hauge.
Lazio
Marco Baroni's side skipped the playoff round and faced Czech side Viktoria Plzen in the round of 16. The tie was not easy for Lazio: after a 2-1 away victory, the Romans drew 1-1 at home. Notably, Lazio has suffered only one defeat in this Europa League campaign (7 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the Italians, along with Olympiacos, have conceded the fewest goals in the current Europa League season (7 goals).
- The team has won 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Europa League in regular time.
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 5 of the club's last 7 away games in this European competition.
- The Romans have not conceded more than one goal in regular time in their last seven away matches in the Europa League.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)
Ivan Provedel – Adam Marusic, Patric Gabarron, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares – Matteo Guendouzi, Matias Vecino, Gustav Isaksen, Mattia Zaccagni, Pedro Rodriguez – Valentin Castellanos.
Defender Patric Gabarron will miss the game due to injury. Midfielder Nicolo Rovella is suspended.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 38%.
Bodo/Glimt vs. Lazio: Match Prediction
The Norwegians have shown strong attacking prowess in the current Europa League campaign, and in previous seasons, they have been known for their high-scoring performances. The team is particularly formidable at home, having failed to score only once in their last 11 home games in this European competition, and scoring at least twice in eight of those matches. Moreover, in their last three home Europa League games, Bodo/Glimt have scored exactly three goals in regular time.
Lazio also favors an attacking style of play and spends a lot of time on offense, even away from home. In the current Europa League campaign, the Italians have played five away matches, failing to break down only Braga's defense, while scoring at least two goals in the other four encounters.
Considering all these factors, I anticipate a high-scoring match. My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
