The Matchday 34 Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel will take place on May 17 at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
Niko Kovac's side defeated Bayer 4-2 away in the last round. Dortmund's unbeaten streak in the league has reached seven matches (6 wins, 1 draw), although they have kept a clean sheet in only one of these games. Borussia has conceded 51 goals in total, the most among teams in the European competition zone, where they are currently in 5th place.
- At least 4 goals have been scored in Dortmund's last 7 Bundesliga games.
- The team has won 4 of their last 5 home matches in the league (1 loss).
- In 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament, Borussia has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Daniel Svensson, Ramy Bensebaini, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton – Julian Ryerson, Karim Adeyemi, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Gross, Julian Brandt – Serhou Guirassy.
Forward Maximilian Beier and defender Nico Schlotterbeck are injured. Midfielder Pascal Gross is suspended.
Holstein Kiel
After losing to Freiburg (1-2) in the last round, Marcel Rapp's side bid farewell to the Bundesliga. Although a 3-match unbeaten streak (2 wins, 1 draw) in the league gave them hope to fight for the playoff zone, they are now 4 points behind the coveted 15th place. Additionally, the club has scored in 6 consecutive Bundesliga games, marking their second-longest scoring streak in this tournament edition.
- Holstein has conceded at least two goals in 14 of their last 18 Bundesliga matches.
- Away, the club has not lost in 4 of their last 5 games in this tournament (2 wins, 2 draws).
- Marcel Rapp's side has scored in all away games in the current championship.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-3-3)
Thomas Dene – David Zez, Timo Becker, Lasse Rosenbom, John Tolkin – Carl Johansson, Armin Gigovic, Magnus Knudsen – Suto Machino, Alexander Berdarsson, Steven Skrzybski.
Midfielder Armin Gigovic will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 14 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Holstein Kiel
In theory, a draw might be enough for Dortmund to qualify for the Champions League, but I am confident the team will not rely on the head-to-head clash between Eintracht and Freiburg, where another ticket to the most prestigious European competition will be decided. On the other hand, even a simple win might not be enough for Borussia. Niko Kovac's side is behind Frankfurt in terms of goal difference, so Dortmund needs to win with at least a two-goal margin.
Borussia has gained excellent momentum, winning 6 of their last 7 league matches. It's important to note that at least 4 goals were scored in all these games. This high scoring is due not only to Dortmund's consistently prolific attack but also to their unreliable defense. Niko Kovac's team concedes almost from everyone, and even the unmotivated Holstein might have chances.
I believe the hosts will secure their Champions League spot in a high-scoring match. My prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win and Total Over 3.5 goals
