The matchday 22 Bundesliga fixture between Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 will take place on 13 February at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
The team beat Wolfsburg 2:1 away from home in the last round, extending their winning run in the league to five matches. However, for the first time in that spell, the Dortmund side scored fewer than two goals. At the other end, Niko Kovac's men have been allowing very little at their own goal. The club have conceded just 20 goals, and only Bayern Munich have a better record (19). The Munich side did not slip up this round, so Borussia Dortmund’s gap to the leaders remained six points, but they managed to pull six clear of third-placed Hoffenheim.
- A goal in both halves has been scored in 11 consecutive Borussia Dortmund matches in the Bundesliga.
- On home soil, the team have won 12 of their last 15 league matches (3 draws).
- Borussia Dortmund have opened the scoring in their previous seven home games in this competition.
Potential Borussia Dortmund Lineup (3-5-2)*
Gregor Kobel – Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck – Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Julian Brandt, Daniel Svensson, Julian Ryerson – Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and defender Filippo Mane are injured. Defender Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended.
1. FSV Mainz 05
The win over Augsburg (2:0) in the last round was the third straight league victory for Urs Fischer's men. It is worth noting that the team last enjoyed such a successful run almost a year ago. In addition, 1. FSV Mainz 05 managed to keep a clean sheet for the first time in their last six Bundesliga matches. However, the club have recorded just two shutouts this season, with only Wolfsburg (1) and Heidenheim (0) registering fewer clean sheets. In the standings, the team climbed to 14th, but their cushion over the relegation play-off zone remains small – two points.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in six straight Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the team have failed to win seven of their previous eight league games (2 draws, 5 defeats).
- In four of their last five away matches in this competition, the club conceded at least twice.
Potential 1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineup (3-5-2)*
Daniel Batz – Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell – Silvan Widmer, Danny da Costa, Lee Jae Sung, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri – Silas Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz.
Goalkeeper Robin Zentner, as well as defender Anton Kaci and forward Benedict Hollerbach, will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Tobias Welz (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 14%.
Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: Match Prediction
Borussia Dortmund’s results cannot fail to please the club’s supporters. Borussia Dortmund have put together their longest winning run of the current league campaign and boast excellent attacking numbers. Niko Kovac's men have scored at least twice in seven consecutive Bundesliga games. That said, it is worth noting that the club have recently lacked reliability at the back: Borussia Dortmund have conceded in three of their last four matches in this competition, including against the two lowest-scoring teams.
1. FSV Mainz 05 have collected more than half of their points in the current season in 2026. Urs Fischer's men have avoided defeat in five of their last six matches, and they even scored in the one game they lost in that period. Clinical finishing has been key to the team’s positive results. But there could hardly be another way for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to take points consistently with such a defence: the team have conceded in 18 of 21 matches in the current league campaign.
It is also worth adding that both teams have scored in five of the last seven Bundesliga head-to-head meetings. This is another factor in favour of the Both teams to score – Yes prediction.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is listed.