The Ligue 1 Round 21 match between Brest vs Lorient will take place on february 7 at Stade du Moustoir. Brest vs Lorient: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Brest
Brest drew away to Nice (2:2) in the last round. Before that, the team suffered defeats to Toulouse (0:2) and Lyon (1:2). This kind of run is not the first this season: earlier, the club went at least four straight Ligue 1 matches without a win on two occasions. Brest sit 12th in the standings, but have a healthy gap to the bottom three — 9 points. However, the team concede plenty — 33 goals. Only four teams in the league have worse defensive numbers.
- At least two goals have been scored in 8 of the previous 9 Brest matches in Ligue 1.
- Brest have failed to win 10 of their last 14 league games — 4 draws and 6 defeats.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in 6 of the club’s previous 7 Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Brest Lineup (4-5-1)*
Grégoire Coudert — Brendan Chardonnet, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Kenny Lala, Daouda Guindo — Joris Chotard, Rémy Labo-Lascary, Kamory Doumbia, Hugo Magnetti, Romain Del Castillo — Ludovic Ajorque.
Due to injury, forward Mama Baldé and defender Bradley Locko will miss the match.
Lorient
The team have now gone nine straight Ligue 1 matches without defeat. In that run, they have recorded 5 wins and 4 draws. Moreover, Lorient come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive victories. First, the club won away at Monaco (3:1) and Rennes (2:0), and then beat Nantes (2:1) at home. Lorient have climbed to ninth place and moved within three points of the European places.
- The team have not conceded more than one goal in their last 9 Ligue 1 matches.
- Away from home, Lorient are on a four-match unbeaten run in the league (2 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one of the teams failed to score in 5 of the previous 7 Brest matches in Ligue 1.
Potential Lorient Lineup (4-5-1)*
Yvon Mvogo — Igor Silva, Jordan Makengo, Montassar Talbi, Bamo Meïté — Arsène Kouassi, Théo Le Bris, Noa Kadiou, Laurent Abergel, Cheikh Dieng — Pablo Pagis.
Defenders Souleymane Touré and Abdoulaye Faye, as well as midfielder Bandiougou Fadiga, are sidelined through injury.
Referee
Gaël Angoula (France)
Matches — 7 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) — 22;
Yellow cards per match — 3.1;
Red cards shown — 1;
Fouls per match — 18;
Penalties — 43%.
Brest vs Lorient: Match Prediction
Lorient have settled well into Ligue 1. If the team needed time at the start of the season to adapt to France’s top flight, since november they have been picking up points consistently and gradually climbing the standings. Above all, the club have improved thanks to excellent defensive numbers. Scoring against Lorient is very difficult right now, and the last time they conceded more than one goal was against Lens in early november.
Brest do not score that many (1.3 goals per game on average), so we should not expect a high-scoring performance from the home side in this match. But the visitors are also unlikely to produce a large number of goals, as they have scored just 7 goals in their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches. It is also worth noting that no more than two goals were scored in Brest’s last three home league games, as well as in 6 of the previous 8 away matches in Ligue 1.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from its previous match in this competition is listed.