The Matchday 23 Ligue 1 fixture between Brest and Marseille will take place on 20 February at the Stade du Moustoir. Brest vs Marseille: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Brest
Brest head into the upcoming clash on the back of a three-match unbeaten run in the league. During that spell, the home team beat Lorient 2:0 at home and then shared the points away to Nice (2:2) and Lille (1:1). At the same time, the win over Lorient remains the club's only victory in their last five Ligue 1 matches (there have also been two defeats), and that game is also the only one in which the hosts have kept a clean sheet. As things stand, Brest sit 12th in the standings and have a comfortable 10-point cushion over the nearest side in the bottom three.
- Two or more goals have been scored in the club's previous seven Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest have not lost in five of their last six home games in the league (four wins and one draw).
- At least one of the two sides failed to score in seven of the previous eight Ligue 1 home matches involving Brest.
Potential Brest Lineup (4-5-1)*
Gregoire Coudert – Brendan Chardonnet, Michel Diaz, Kenny Lala, Daouda Guindo – Joris Chotard, Romain Del Castillo, Remy Labo-Lascary, Hugo Magnetti, Eric Dina-Ebimbe – Ludovic Ajorque.
Due to injuries, forward Mama Balde and defenders Soumaila Coulibaly and Bradley Locko will miss the match.
Marseille
Marseille hosted Strasbourg in the previous round and drew 2:2. As a result, the club's winless run in the league has stretched to three matches – prior to that there was a draw with Paris (2:2) and a defeat to Paris Saint-Germain (0:5). The last time the team had a similar winless streak in Ligue 1 was in March last year. Marseille have dropped to fourth place and are already 12 points behind the league leaders. It is also worth noting that the club's matches are the highest-scoring in the division – with an average of 3.5 goals scored per game.
- At least four goals have been scored in five of Marseille's previous Ligue 1 matches.
- Marseille have not lost in 10 of their last 13 league games (six wins and four draws).
- The club have not won the first half in 16 of their previous 20 Ligue 1 matches (nine draws and seven defeats).
Potential Marseille Lineup (4-5-1)*
Jeronimo Rulli – Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Timothy Weah – Bilal Nadir, Quinten Timber, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Amine Gouiri.
Defender Leonardo Balerdi is out due to illness.
Referee
Romain Lissorgue (France)
Matches – 9 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Yellow cards per match (average) – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match (average) – 27;
Penalties – 11%.
Brest vs Marseille: Match Prediction
The upcoming clash promises to be entertaining and should produce at least three goals. After all, matches involving Marseille are the highest-scoring in the league, while games involving Brest also often deliver a goal-fest, with an average of 2.9 goals per match. Brest score at a mid-table level, but concede plenty – 1.55 goals per game on average. The team have the sixth-worst defensive record in the league.
Marseille's last five Ligue 1 matches are telling. In all of those games, there were at least four goals. Marseille themselves have conceded 12 goals. Largely because of this, the club's hierarchy decided to sack Roberto De Zerbi. We also add that in the last three head-to-head meetings in the league, Marseille have won, and in each of those clashes there were at least three goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up listed is from their previous match in this competition.