The match of the 20th round of the Premier League between Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley will take place on 3 january at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion, with Fabian Hürzeler as coach, visited West Ham in the last round and failed to beat the outsider, exchanging two effective strikes with them (2:2). That was already the sixth consecutive league match without a win (3 draws and 3 defeats). The team has dropped to a low 14th place. A relegation battle is unlikely to threaten Brighton & Hove Albion, while the gap to the European places has increased. It is also worth noting that the club's matches are among the highest scoring in the Premier League – an average of 2.9 goals are scored.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of the club's last 10 Premier League games.
- In the last 13 home league matches Brighton & Hove Albion have suffered only 1 defeat (6 wins and 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 11 of the club's last 13 home matches in the Premier League.
Potential Brighton & Hove Albion Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Brighton & Hove Albion: Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Lewis Dunk, Jan Paul van Hecke – Ferdy Kadioglu, Diego Gomez, Maxim De Cuyper, Yasin Ayari – Yankuba Minte, Diego Gomez – Danny Welbeck.
Defenders Adam Webster and Solly March, forward Stefanos Tzimas and midfielder Mats Viffer are out with injuries. Midfielder Carlos Baleba has gone away with his national team.
Burnley
The team finished last year with a run of 10 league matches without a win, in which it suffered as many as 8 defeats (2 draws). Although Scott Parker's side would have liked to finish December with a positive result, that did not happen. In the last round the club hosted Newcastle and lost 1:3. Burnley were effectively knocked out early in the match, conceding two goals by the 7th minute. The team is in the bottom three and is 6 points behind the safe 17th place. Note that Burnley's matches see an average of 3.0 goals scored.
- The club lost 7 of its last 9 away Premier League matches (1 win and 1 draw).
- Both teams scored in Burnley's last 8 away league games.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of the club's last 10 away Premier League matches.
Potential Burnley Lineup (4-3-3)*
Burnley: Martin Dubravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxim Esteve, Josh Loran, Kyle Walker – Lesley Ugochukwu, Lucas Pires, Florentin – Loum Tchaouna, Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja.
In the club's treatment room are forward Zeku Amduni, defenders Maxim Esteve and Connor Roberts, midfielders Josh Cullen and Luis Bair. Forwards Lyle Foster and defender Axel Tuanzebe have gone to their national teams.
Referee
Tim Robinson (England)
Matches – 19 (the Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow/red cards shown (including second yellows) – 85;
Average yellow/red per match – 4.5;
Straight reds shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 23;
Penalties – 21%.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: Match Prediction
The hosts are in very poor form and it is unsurprising that they have fallen into the bottom half of the table. The club has now gone six league matches in a row without a win. We believe that even against the outsider Brighton & Hove Albion may run into problems. Even if Brighton & Hove Albion finally wins, the victory is unlikely to be convincing. Burnley are playing with more freedom now; they have come to terms with the fact that they will not climb out of the bottom three, and so they play for their supporters.
It is worth noting that Brighton & Hove Albion cannot win three consecutive Premier League games even at home. And in their previous 16 home Premier League matches they have only one win by more than one goal. Burnley are also resilient away from home, regularly scoring on other teams' pitches, and they have not lost by a margin of two or more goals in 12 of their last 15 away league games. In addition, Brighton & Hove Albion have not beaten this opponent by a convincing score in their last 12 head-to-head Premier League meetings.
Prediction: Burnley (+1.5)
* For each team the starting lineup shown is that used in its previous match in this competition.
