The match of the 20th round of the Premier League between Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley will take place on January 3 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion, coached by Fabian Hurzeler, visited West Ham United in the previous round and were unable to beat the relegation battlers, exchanging two goals with them (2:2). That was the sixth consecutive match without a victory in the championship (3 draws and 3 defeats). The team dropped to a low 14th place. A relegation battle is unlikely to threaten the home side, while the gap to the European zone has widened. It should also be noted that the side's matches are among the highest scoring in the Premier League – an average of 2.9 goals are scored.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of the team's previous 10 Premier League games.
- In the last 13 home league matches Brighton & Hove Albion have suffered only 1 defeat (6 wins and 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 11 of the club's last 13 home Premier League matches.
Potential Brighton & Hove Albion Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Brighton & Hove Albion: Bart Verbruggen – Joel Veltman, Lewis Dunk, Jan Paul van Hecke – Ferdi Kadioglu, Diego Gomez, Maxim De Cuyper, Yasin Ayari – Yankuba Minte, Diego Gomez – Danny Welbeck.
Defenders Adam Webster and Solly March, as well as forward Stefanos Tsimikas and midfielder Mats Wieffer, are out injured. Midfielder Carlos Baleba has left for international duty. Note the return to the squad of midfielder Pascal Gross, who played for Borussia Dortmund.
Burnley
Burnley finished last year with a run of 10 matches without a win in the league, in which they suffered as many as 8 defeats (2 draws). Although the club wanted to finish December with a positive result, that did not happen. In the previous round the club hosted Newcastle United and lost 1:3. Incidentally, the visiting team was knocked out early in the match, conceding two goals by the 7th minute. The squad is among the bottom three and trails the safe 17th place by 6 points. It should be noted that an average of 3 goals are scored in the club's games.
- The club has lost 7 of its previous 9 away Premier League matches (1 win and 1 draw).
- Both teams scored in Burnley's last 8 away league games.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of the team's previous 10 away Premier League matches.
Potential Burnley Lineup (4-3-3)*
Burnley: Martin Dubravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxim Esteve, Josh Loran, Kyle Walker – Leslie Ugochukwu, Lucas Pires, Florentinu – Loum Tshaouna, Marcus Edwards, Armando Broja.
Out injured are forward Zeki Amdouni, defenders Maxim Esteve and Connor Roberts, and midfielders Josh Cullen and Lewis Bair. Forward Lyle Foster and defender Axel Tuanzebe have gone to national team duty.
Referee
Tim Robinson (England)
Matches – 19 (the Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 85;
Average Yellow/Red Per Match – 4.5;
Red Cards Shown – 3;
Fouls Per Match On Average – 23;
Penalties – 21%.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: Match Prediction
The home side are in very poor form and it is no surprise they have fallen into the bottom half of the table. The club has gone six matches in a row without a win in the Premier League. We believe that even against the relegation battlers Brighton & Hove Albion may encounter problems. Even if Brighton & Hove Albion finally win, the victory is unlikely to be convincing. Burnley are playing with less pressure and, having accepted that escaping the relegation zone is unlikely, are instead playing for their supporters.
It is worth noting that Brighton & Hove Albion cannot win three Premier League home matches in a row. In their previous 16 home Premier League matches they have had only one win by more than one goal. Burnley are also reliable away from home, consistently scoring at opponents' stadiums, and have not lost by two or more goals in 12 of their last 15 away league games. In addition, Brighton & Hove Albion have not beaten this opponent by a convincing score in their last 12 head-to-head Premier League meetings.
Prediction: Burnley (+1.5)
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from their previous match in this competition.