The Matchday 12 Premier League clash between Burnley and Chelsea will take place on November 22 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
Scott Parker's side is currently out of the relegation zone, but they are ahead of the nearest opponent in the bottom three only due to a better goal difference. The team approaches this match after two consecutive defeats. Burnley lost at home to Arsenal (0-2) and then away to West Ham with a score of 2-3. The team has only three wins so far, two of which were against league newcomers, and one against Wolverhampton. On average, the club concedes two goals per game, which is the third-worst record.
- The team has failed to win 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches (1 draw and 6 losses).
- Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley's last 17 league games.
- No more than two goals were scored in Burnley's last five Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Martin Dubravka – Axel Tuanzebe, Kyle Walker, Quillan Hartman, Maxime Estève – Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino – Josh Cullen, Lum Chauna, Jaidon Anthony – Zian Flemming.
Chelsea
The Londoners, on the other hand, have won their last two matches with clean sheets. They first defeated Tottenham away (1-0) and then thrashed Wolverhampton at home 3-0. Additionally, Enzo Maresca's side has won 4 of their last 5 league matches, suffering only one, albeit sensational, defeat to Sunderland (1-2). Chelsea is currently third in the league table, trailing leaders Arsenal by six points.
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 Premier League games.
- Chelsea has not scored more than one goal in 12 of their last 16 away Premier League matches.
- In their last six away league matches, the club has avoided defeat five times (4 wins and 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana, Marc Cucurella – Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo – Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro Jesus, Pedro Neto – Liam Delap.
Injuries include defenders Levi Colwill and Dario Essugo, as well as forward Romeo Lavia and midfielder Cole Palmer. The participation of forward Pedro Neto and defender Benoit Badiashile is still in question.
Referee
Peter Bankes (England)
Matches – 8 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 50%.
Match Prediction: Burnley vs. Chelsea
It's crucial for Chelsea to maintain their momentum to secure a top-four spot. Therefore, they need to win even away from home. Facing one of the league's lower-ranked teams presents a real opportunity. I predict that Chelsea will not only secure three points but also score at least two goals.
This goal tally is likely due to the home team's weak defensive play. In their last 14 Premier League matches, Burnley has conceded two or more goals on 10 occasions. Additionally, Chelsea has not lost to this opponent in the league for 11 consecutive meetings (8 wins and 3 draws). Chelsea has scored at least two goals against Burnley in 11 of the last 12 encounters.
My prediction – Chelsea ITB 1.5
