The Matchday 4 Premier League clash between Burnley and Liverpool will take place on September 14 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
After three rounds, the team has 3 points. Scott Parker's side secured their only victory at home against Sunderland (2-0). However, they have only suffered defeats away: in the first round, they were thrashed by Tottenham (3-0), and in the last match, they lost to Manchester United (2-3). It's worth noting that Burnley could have counted on a draw in the third round but conceded to the Mancunians in the 97th minute from the penalty spot.
- In the last 7 Premier League matches, the team has only won once (1 draw and 5 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 home games in the Premier League.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (4-3-3)
Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Quillindsey Hartman, Maxime Estève, Hjalmar Ekdal – Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu – Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side is the only team in the league that hasn't dropped a point after 3 rounds. The club defeated Bournemouth (4-2) and Arsenal (1-0) at home, and managed a 3-2 win against Newcastle away. Interestingly, Liverpool has only started the Premier League season with four consecutive wins in 2018 and 2019. Additionally, Liverpool has scored in 37 consecutive Premier League matches, the longest streak in the club's top-flight history.
Liverpool set a new historical record in the Premier League, spending €488 million on transfers this summer. The most notable signings were Alexander Isak, Florian Wirtz, and Hugo Ekitike.
- In the last 37 Premier League matches, Liverpool has suffered only 3 defeats (25 wins and 9 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Liverpool's last 8 league games.
- The club conceded at least two goals in 6 of the last 8 away Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (3-4-3)
Alisson Becker – Milos Kerkez, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Ryan Gravenberch – Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike.
Defender Jeremie Frimpong may miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 29 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 118;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 10%.
Burnley vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
Burnley is not the team that can stop the in-form Liverpool. The visitors have become the sole leaders after just three rounds for a reason. The team's ambitions are evident from the start of the tournament, and the summer reinforcements indicate that Liverpool aims not only to repeat last season's Premier League success but also to contend for the Champions League title.
In the last 11 league meetings, Burnley has only defeated this opponent once (1 draw and 9 losses). Matches at Turf Moor have been particularly challenging, where Liverpool has won their last 6 Premier League visits. In the last 4 encounters at this stadium, Liverpool has won three times not only with a clean sheet but also by a margin of two or three goals.
My prediction – Liverpool with a handicap (-1.5)
