The Serie A matchday 28 fixture between Cagliari vs Como will take place on 7 March at the Sardegna Arena. Cagliari vs Como: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Cagliari
Cagliari have now gone four matches without a win, and in the previous round the Sardinian side shared the points with Parma (1:1). Cagliari currently sit 13th in the Serie A standings on 30 points. Relegation is practically not a concern, but there are no serious objectives left either. In truth, the season will be remembered only for narrow wins over Juventus and Roma – both by a 1:0 scoreline – but those results are exceptions compared to the overall picture. The team are also among the seven worst sides defensively: after 27 matchdays, they have conceded 36 goals.
The team have failed to win 8 of their last 11 home league games (3 draws, 5 defeats).
In 4 of the Sardinians' last 5 Serie A matches, at least one of the opponents left the pitch without scoring.
At home, the club have conceded more than once in just 2 of their last 7 matches in this competition.
Potential Cagliari Lineup (3-5-2)*
Elia Caprile – Juan Rodriguez, Alberto Dossena, Ze Pedro – Adam Obert,
Ibrahim Sulemana, Joseph Litetta, Michel Ndary Adopo, Marco Palestra – Sebastiano Esposito, Semih Kilicsoy.
Forwards Gennaro Borrelli and Andrea Belotti, as well as midfielders Gianluca Gaetano, Mattia Felici, Michael Folorunsho, Luca Mazzitelli and Alessandro Deiola, will miss the match due to injury.
Como
The win over Lecce last time out (3:1) was already the 13th victory in 27 league matches for Cesc Fabregas' side, and it also extended their unbeaten run to three games. Como are enjoying one of their most successful seasons in recent years: the team look comfortable in the league, are still in the Coppa Italia, and are targeting the European places. Their defensive solidity deserves a special mention – just 20 goals conceded, placing them among the three best defences in the league. Yes, there were defeats to Inter (0:4) and Milan (1:3), but those are the only times this season they have conceded more than twice in a match.
In their last five away games in the Serie A, the team have recorded four wins (1 draw).
Como have not conceded more than one goal in their last six away matches in this competition.
The team have scored at least once in 11 of their last 12 league matches.
Potential Como Lineup (4-5-1)*
Jean Butez – Ivan Smolcic, Jacobo Ramon, Alex Valle, Diego Carlos – Maxence Caqueret, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Sergi Roberto, Maximo Perrone – Jayden Addai.
Referee
Livio Marinelli (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 33%.
Cagliari vs Como: Match Prediction
In the upcoming schedule, Como have only a few opponents against whom they can realistically expect to pick up points without too much trouble, and that is extremely important for the team right now. Qualification for next season's European competitions is still not guaranteed, and the game against Cagliari could be a good opportunity to move closer to that goal. After this round, Como will have an away trip to the Rome club they trail by just three points. If they manage to win and, at the same time, the Romans drop points, Como will either draw level with their rivals or at least significantly reduce the gap. It is also worth adding that the team are unbeaten in five away Serie A matches, scoring 12 goals across that run.
For Cagliari, this match is unlikely to decide much: the team have no specific objectives, and they have been inconsistent all season. Even so, at home the hosts have been relatively steady. In 13 home matches in the current league campaign, the Sardinians have managed only four wins (4 draws, 5 defeats), and in the upcoming game they are unlikely to have much to offer against a motivated Como, especially one that look so strong in attack.
Prediction: Como, double chance + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up listed is from their previous match in this competition.