The Premier League matchday 27 clash between Chelsea and Burnley will take place on 21 February at Stamford Bridge in London. Chelsea vs Burnley: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Chelsea
Chelsea slipped up unexpectedly in their last Premier League game, drawing 2:2 at home to newly promoted Leeds. Before that, the home team had put together a four-match winning run in the league. The club remain in fifth place, just one point off the top four. Chelsea also have the third-best attack in the Premier League, having scored 47 goals. However, it is also worth noting that the team have conceded in nine of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- Both teams have scored in nine of the London club's last 10 league matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Chelsea's previous 10 Premier League games.
- The club have not lost in seven of their last eight home Premier League matches (four wins and three draws).
Potential Chelsea Lineup (4-5-1)*
Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Josh Acheampong – Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Estevao – Joao Pedro.
Defender Levi Colwill, as well as midfielder Jamie Gittens and goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen, will miss the match through injury. Defender Marc Cucurella and midfielder Dario Essugo are doubts.
Burnley
Burnley surprised everyone last time out, winning 3:2 away to Crystal Palace. Interestingly, all the goals in that match were scored before half-time, with the Londoners having been two goals up. As a result, the club's long 16-match winless run in the league came to an end (five draws and 11 defeats). It was also the first time in that spell that Burnley scored more than two goals. No, the team have not left the relegation zone, but they have cut the gap to safety in 17th to nine points. The club have also retained the unwanted label of the league's worst defence, with 51 goals conceded.
- Both teams have scored in 10 of the team's last 12 league matches.
- Burnley have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last eight Premier League matches.
- In their last eight away Premier League matches, the club have managed just one win (two draws and five defeats).
Potential Burnley Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Martin Dubravka – Maxime Esteve, Joe Worrall, Josh Laurent, Kyle Walker – Hannibal Mejbri, Lesley Ugochukwu, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony – Zian Flemming.
Forward Zeki Amdouni, defenders Axel Tuanzebe and Connor Roberts, and midfielders Mike Trezor, Josh Cullen and Louis Beyer are all on the club's injury list.
Referee
Lewis Smith (England)
Matches – 17 (the Championship, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 19;
Penalties – 6%.
Chelsea vs Burnley: Match Prediction
It is unlikely that the Londoners will drop points in a second consecutive home league match, especially against opponents from the lower half of the table. Still, the win is unlikely to be convincing or straightforward. We think the visitors will be able to make a real fight of it, given Burnley have far greater motivation than Chelsea. Survival in the Premier League is on the line. We expect to see goals from both teams in this game.
In their last 10 league matches, the Londoners have managed just one clean sheet. At the same time, Chelsea's scoring run in the Premier League has now reached 11 games. Burnley, meanwhile, have actually looked more interesting away from home, having scored in 13 of their previous 16 Premier League matches on the road. However, the team have conceded in each of their last 23 away Premier League games. It is also worth noting that the last two head-to-head meetings between these sides at Stamford Bridge ended in draws (2:2 and 1:1).
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
