The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Conference League Round of 16 between Djurgården (Sweden) and Pafos (Cyprus) will take place on March 13 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. The first match ended with a 1-0 victory for Pafos. Djurgården vs. Pafos: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Djurgården
The Swedish side lost the first leg 0-1, ending their four-match winning streak in the Conference League. Before this, Djurgården had scored in 10 consecutive games in the tournament. To progress to the next round, Jani Honkavaara's team needs to defeat the Cypriots by at least two goals. However, they have only managed to achieve such a margin once in the group stage. Notably, in the last 1/8 finals of the Conference League, the Swedes also lost the first match and ultimately failed to advance.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Djurgården's last 7 matches in this European competition.
- At home, the Swedes have won 5 of their last 6 Conference League matches (1 loss).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 home games in the tournament.
Predicted lineup for Djurgården (4-5-1)
Malcolm Nilsson Säfqvist – Miro Tenho, Keita Kosugi, Adam Stahl, Jacob Une Larsson – Rasmus Schüller, Patrik Åslund, Tobias Gulliksen, Oscar Fallenius, Nino Zugelj – Tokmac Chol Nguen
Defender Markus Danielsson is suspended.
Pafos
With their victory in the first leg, Juan Carlos Carcedo's team extended their unbeaten run in the Conference League to five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). However, the Cypriots kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last four games in the tournament. To advance to the quarter-finals, Pafos only needs not to lose in the second leg. If they lose by a single goal, extra time will be required. Notably, Pafos has taken the most shots in this Conference League campaign – 151.
- The Cypriots have scored in 7 consecutive Conference League matches.
- Away from home, the team has not won in 6 of their last 7 matches in this European competition (2 draws, 4 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Pafos's last 7 away matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Pafos (4-4-2)
Ivica Ivusic – Derrick Luckassen, David Gomez Goldar, Ken Sema, Jonathan Silva – Pepe Rodrigues, Vlad Dragomir, Ivan Sunjic, Bruno Souza Silva – Jairo da Silva, Muamer Tankovic.
Djurgården vs. Pafos: Match Prediction
A narrow defeat leaves the Swedes with a good chance of reaching the Conference League quarter-finals. At home, the team has been very confident in this tournament, winning 11 of 14 matches (3 losses). Djurgården's success is largely due to their strong attacking play, having failed to score in only one home game in the Conference League. In 9 instances, the Swedes have scored at least twice. However, they concede goals at home somewhat regularly – in 6 of their last 8 games in the tournament.
The Cypriots, on the other hand, have been unconvincing away from home. Pafos has only one away win in the Conference League (2 draws, 4 losses). Even in their victory, they failed to keep a clean sheet. Thus, the team has not managed a single away game without conceding in the Conference League. With such defensive statistics, it will be challenging to maintain their advantage.
Considering these factors, my prediction: Djurgården will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
