The first Conference League 2025/26 play-off match between Noah (Armenia) and AZ Alkmaar (Netherlands) will take place on 19 February at the Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in Yerevan. Noah vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Noah
The Armenian representatives finished 19th in the league phase. The team collected eight points (two wins, two draws), six of which came at home. It is worth noting that Noah failed to score only in the final round, when they could not find a way past Dynamo Kyiv. Moreover, prior to that match, the club had scored in nine straight Conference League games. We should add that the side have taken a step forward compared to last season, when they failed to get through the main round.
- Both teams to score landed in eight of Noah’s last 10 Conference League matches.
- The team scored more than once in just one of their previous six games in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in four of the club’s last five home matches in the Conference League.
Potential Noah Lineup (4-5-1)*
Ognjen Cancarevic – Goncalo Silva, David Sualehe, Nathanael Saintini, Eric Boakye – Gudmundur Thorarinsson, Marin Jakolis, Mateus Aias, Takuto Oshima, Helder Ferreira – Nardin Mulahusejnovic.
AZ Alkmaar
The Conference League 2022/23 semi-finalists finished 14th in the league phase of the current edition. The Dutch side avoided defeat in four of six matches (three wins, one draw), with both losses coming away from home. It is worth noting that AZ Alkmaar kept four clean sheets, and only AEK Larnaca recorded more shutouts (five). Recall that last season the club reached the Europa League round of 16.
Maarten Martens has stepped down as head coach.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in five of the Dutch side’s previous six Conference League matches.
- Away from home in this competition, the team have gone nine matches without a draw (three wins, six defeats).
- The club scored in five of their last six away games in the Conference League.
Potential AZ Alkmaar Lineup (4-3-3)*
Jeroen Zoet – Wouter Goes, Mateo Chavez, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit – Kasper Boogaard, Djis Hornkamp, Rio Robbemond – Welsey Patati, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Troy Parrott.
Midfielder Jordy Clasie, defenders Denso Kasius and Seiya Maikuma are sidelined. Defender Mateo Chavez is suspended.
Referee
Orel Grinfeld (Israel)
Matches – 5 (international matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 0%.
Noah vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Prediction
Noah’s home statistics in the Conference League should not be misleading. A significant proportion of the wins were achieved back in the qualifying rounds. In the main phase of the competition, the club have won at home only three times. Moreover, in the Conference League 2025/26 one of those victories came against Legia, who have already exited this European campaign. We should add that the team coached by Sandro Perkovic have conceded in five straight Conference League games. It is important to note that the squad have been without official match practice since mid-December.
The Dutch side do not have any issues in front of goal. The team scored in 10 of their previous 12 Conference League matches. In the current edition, AZ Alkmaar failed to score only against Jagiellonia and AEK Larnaca, who are extremely solid defensively, and the Cypriots actually lead the way for clean sheets. At the same time, the team lost in the main phase to a representative of one of Europe’s top-five leagues and to the surprise package AEK mentioned above.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar, double chance + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from its most recent match in this competition.