The second leg of the 2024/25 Conference League semi-final between Fiorentina (Italy) and Real Betis (Spain) will be held on May 8 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. The first match ended with a 2-1 victory for Real Betis. Fiorentina vs. Real Betis: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side suffered a 1-2 defeat in the first leg away from home. This loss was Fiorentina's third in 11 matches in the current Conference League, excluding qualifiers (6 wins, 2 draws). The team has kept a clean sheet in only two games in this tournament. Notably, the club has been prolific, scoring 28 goals in this Conference League campaign, second only to Chelsea (37). To reach their third consecutive final in this tournament, Fiorentina must win by at least two goals in regular time.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 13 home matches in the Conference League (8 wins, 5 draws).
- The players have scored at least twice in 90 minutes in their last seven home games in this European competition.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 5 of Fiorentina's last 7 home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David de Gea – Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Pietro Comuzzo – Fabiano Parisi, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Robin Gosens – Lucas Beltran, Albert Gudmundsson.
Defender Dodo and midfielder Danilo Cataldi will not play due to injuries.
Real Betis
Manuel Pellegrini's side was stronger in the first encounter and managed to avoid defeat for the eighth time in their last nine Conference League matches (6 wins, 2 draws). Betis has also been impressive defensively, conceding only ten goals in this Conference League campaign, ranking just behind two clubs that have surpassed the group stage. To reach their first-ever European final, the Seville side needs to avoid defeat after 90 minutes, and in case of a one-goal loss, extra time will be played.
- The club has not lost in the first half of their last five away matches in the Conference League (2 wins, 3 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in 90 minutes in 5 of Betis's last 7 away matches in this European competition.
- Sevilla has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 away games in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Real Betis (4-3-3)
Fran Vieites – Nathan, Romain Perraud, Marc Bartra, Aitor Ruibal – Joao Cardoso, Isco, Pablo Fornals – Antony Matheus, Abde Ezzalzouli, Cedric Bakambu.
Defender Diego Llorente, midfielder Marc Roca, and forward Chimy Avila will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 27%.
Fiorentina vs. Real Betis: Match Prediction
The usually reliable Sevilla defense will face a tough challenge in this matchup, as Fiorentina is highly effective at home. In their last seven home matches in the Conference League, the Italians have scored at least twice in each game. However, their attacking style leaves them vulnerable at the back, having conceded ten goals in the same period and keeping just two clean sheets.
Betis will likely have opportunities in attack as well, given their consistent scoring on the road. In their entire Conference League campaign, the Spaniards have played eight away games and failed to score in only one, netting eight goals in their last three away matches in this competition.
I anticipate a traditionally strong attacking performance from the hosts, but I also expect Sevilla to score at least once. Therefore, my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
