The second leg of the 2024/25 Conference League semi-final between Fiorentina (Italy) and Real Betis (Spain) will take place on May 8 at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence. The first match ended 2-1 in favor of Real Betis. Fiorentina vs. Real Betis: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away in the first match. For Fiorentina, this loss was their third in 11 matches in the current Conference League, excluding qualifiers (6 wins, 2 draws). The team has managed to keep a clean sheet in only two games in this tournament. Notably, the club has been prolific in front of goal, scoring 28 times in the current campaign, second only to Chelsea (37). To reach their third consecutive final in this tournament, Fiorentina needs to win by at least two goals in regular time.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 13 home games in the Conference League (8 wins, 5 draws).
- Fiorentina has scored at least twice in their last seven home games in this European competition.
- Both teams scored in regular time in 5 of Fiorentina's last 7 home Conference League matches.
Projected lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)*
David de Gea – Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Pietro Comuzzo – Fabiano Parisi, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Robin Gosens – Lucas Beltran, Albert Gudmundsson.
Midfielder Danilo Cataldi will not play due to injury.
Real Betis
Manuel Pellegrini's side emerged victorious in the first encounter and have avoided defeat in eight of their last nine Conference League matches (6 wins, 2 draws). Betis has also been solid defensively, conceding only ten goals in the current tournament, bettered by just two clubs who advanced past the group stage. To reach their first-ever European final, Betis needs to avoid defeat over 90 minutes, with extra time being required if they lose by one goal.
- The club has not lost the first half in their last five away Conference League matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 5 of Betis' last 7 away games in this European competition.
- Betis has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 8 away Conference League matches.
Projected lineup for Real Betis (4-3-3)*
Fran Vieites – Nathan, Romain Perraud, Marc Bartra, Aitor Ruibal – Joao Cardoso, Isco, Pablo Fornals – Antony Matheus, Abde Ezzalzouli, Cedric Bakambu.
Defender Diego Llorente, midfielder Marc Roca, and forward Chimy Avila will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Glenn Nyberg (Sweden)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 27%.
Fiorentina vs. Real Betis: Match Prediction
The usually reliable defense of Betis will face a stern test in this encounter, given Fiorentina's attacking prowess at home. In their last seven home Conference League matches, the Italians have scored at least twice in each game. However, their attacking style leaves their defense vulnerable, having conceded ten goals in this period and keeping just two clean sheets.
Betis is likely to have their opportunities upfront, as they have consistently scored on the road. In their Conference League history, the Spaniards have played eight away matches, failing to score only once, and have netted eight goals in their last three away games in this competition.
I expect a strong attacking performance from the hosts, but Betis, in my view, will find the net at least once. Therefore, my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
