The Matchday 28 Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund will take place on April 5 at the Europa-Park Stadium. Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Freiburg
In the previous round, the team suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Union Berlin, ending a seven-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (4 wins, 3 draws). After six consecutive clean sheets, Julian Schuster's side conceded four goals in their last two league matches. Freiburg has conceded 40 goals in total, with only Wolfsburg (41) having a worse record among the top half of the table. The club has slipped to seventh place in the standings.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 9 of their last 11 Bundesliga matches.
- At home, Freiburg has not lost in 8 of their last 10 league matches (6 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has opened the scoring in 6 of their last 8 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)
Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Michael Gregoritsch.
First-choice goalkeeper Noah Atubolu is injured.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund secured a 3-1 home victory over Mainz in the last round, marking their 11th win of the current championship (5 draws, 11 losses). However, the team has conceded in 14 of their last 16 Bundesliga matches. Moreover, Borussia has kept only five clean sheets this season, with only four clubs having fewer. Nico Kovac's side has climbed to 10th place in the standings.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Dortmund's last 6 league matches.
- Borussia has scored in 9 of their last 12 away Bundesliga games.
- The team has defeated their upcoming opponent in 6 consecutive meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Jan Couto, Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton – Emre Can, Maximilian Beier, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Salih Özcan – Karim Adeyemi.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is injured. Defenders Jan Couto and Nico Schlotterbeck will miss the match due to suspension.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 13 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 38%.
Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
After a run of four consecutive league victories, Julian Schuster's side has been unable to win in their last four matches. However, two of these games were against teams in the European competition zone. Borussia Dortmund, usually among such teams, is currently not performing at their best.
Nico Kovac's side is mid-table, trailing the top six by just four points. However, inconsistent results have prevented them from climbing higher. Dortmund's away form has been particularly poor, with only three away wins this season (2 draws, 8 losses), including victories over struggling Heidenheim and St. Pauli.
The defeat to Union Berlin in the last round was only Freiburg's second in their last 10 home Bundesliga matches (6 wins, 2 draws). The previous home loss was against Bayern Munich. I believe the hosts have a good chance of securing points, especially with Dortmund's focus possibly on their upcoming Champions League fixture.
My prediction: Freiburg win or draw
