The 16th-round match of the Bundesliga between Freiburg and Hamburg will take place on 10 january at Europa-Park-Stadion. Freiburg vs Hamburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Freiburg
In the previous round, Freiburg were stronger than Wolfsburg away (4:3). As a result, the home team recorded only their third win in their last 11 Bundesliga matches (5 draws, 3 losses). In addition, the hosts extended their scoring run in the league to six matches, but for the fourth time this Bundesliga season they conceded at least three goals. The club has 20 points and sits ninth in the standings.
- The team has not lost in its last six Bundesliga home matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 11 of the club's previous 12 home league matches.
- At least four goals were scored in 8 of Freiburg's last 11 home Bundesliga matches.
Potential Freiburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Noah Atubolu – Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Christian Günter, Anthony Jung – Johan Manzambi, Patrick Osterhage, Yuito Suzuki, Maximilian Eggestein, Philipp Treu – Lucas Höler.
Midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyere will not play due to injury. In addition, forward Siryak Irie has gone to the Africa Cup of Nations.
Hamburg
In the previous round, Hamburg drew with Eintracht at home (1:1). As a result, the side failed to win in 7 of their last 9 league matches (2 draws, 5 losses). In addition, the side extended their run of conceding goals in the Bundesliga to nine matches. The club has 16 points and sits 13th in the standings.
- The club has not won in its last eight Bundesliga away matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of the side's previous 8 league matches.
- Hamburg have not scored more than one goal in eight of their last away Bundesliga matches.
Potential Hamburg Lineup (3-4-3)*
Daniel Heuer – William Mikelbrancis, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic – Daniel Elfadli, Nikolai Remberg, Albert Sambi-Lokonga, Miro Muhaim – Ransford Konigsdorffer, Fabio Balde, Ryan Philipp.
Defender Varmed Omari and forward Yussuf Poulsen will miss the match due to health issues.
Referee
Timo Gerach (Germany)
Matches – 15 (the Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 61;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 4.1;
Red Cards Shown – 2;
Fouls Average Per Match – 20;
Penalties – 40%.
Freiburg vs Hamburg: Match Prediction
At home, Freiburg play confidently and from a position of strength, seeking to apply as much pressure as possible on opponents' defensive lines. This style has a positive effect on Freiburg's scoring: the team has not left the field without scoring in its last 12 Bundesliga home matches. Moreover, in the six previous home league matches the hosts scored a total of 13 goals.
Hamburg's defence faces another difficult test – the club has not coped well with opponents' attacks recently, especially in away matches. In the last six away Bundesliga fixtures the visitors kept a clean sheet only once, while in the other five matches they conceded a total of 16 goals.
We do not think that Hamburg will show progress in defence this time, and we expect the hosts to score at least two goals.
Prediction: Freiburg Over 1.5 Goals
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from their previous match in this competition.