The Serie A Round 16 fixture between Genoa and Atalanta will take place on December 21 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa – Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Genoa
Daniele De Rossi's side were unable to take points off Inter at home in the last round (1-2). As a result, Genoa's unbeaten league run under the new coach came to an end at five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the club failed to score at least twice for the first time in six previous league outings. With 14 points, the Rossoblu sit in 16th place in the table.
- The team has failed to win in 10 of their last 11 home Serie A matches (3 draws, 7 defeats).
- The club scored more than once in only 2 of their last 8 home league games.
- Genoa failed to score in the first half in 9 of their last 12 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup – Genoa (3-5-2)*
Nicola Leali – Alessandro Markandalli, Sebastián Otoa, Johan Vásquez – Brook Norton-Cuffy, Mikael Ellertsson, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Aaron Martin – Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo.
Midfielder Jean Onana has departed to join up for the Africa Cup of Nations.
Atalanta
Raffaele Palladino's men beat Cagliari 2-1 at home in the previous round. That was only Atalanta's second victory in 11 league matches (5 draws, 4 defeats). The side also failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their last 8 Serie A games. With 19 points, the Nerazzurri sit 12th in the table.
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 7 away league matches (3 draws, 3 defeats).
- Atalanta scored more than once in only 1 of their last 7 away Serie A fixtures.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Atalanta's last 8 away league matches.
Predicted lineup – Atalanta (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac – Lorenzo Bernasconi, Ederson, Marten de Roon, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Berat Djimsiti and Raoul Bellanova, and forward Kamal Sowah are unavailable due to injury. Additionally, Odilon Kossounou and Ademola Lookman are absent while on Africa Cup of Nations duty.
Referee
Rosario Abisso (Italy)
Matches – 16 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 31%.
Genoa – Atalanta: Match prediction
Since Daniele De Rossi took charge, Genoa have become more effective in attack and are scoring more regularly: they found the net in all five of his league games, scoring at least twice in four of those matches. However, defensive improvements have not followed — the side have conceded in eight of their last nine league outings.
Atalanta always aim to create chances and remain dangerous on the road. In their previous 15 away Serie A matches the team rarely failed to find the net, and in seven of those games they scored at least twice. Yet their defence remains vulnerable: Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
I expect an exchange of goals in this fixture, and my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from their previous match in this competition.