The Matchday 11 Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina will take place on November 9 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium in Genoa. Genoa vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Genoa
In the previous round, Genoa defeated Sassuolo away from home. As a result, Genoa ended their winless streak in the league, which lasted nine matches (3 draws, 6 losses). Additionally, the team scored more than one goal for the first time in this Serie A campaign. The club now has six points, lifting them to 16th place in the standings.
- The team has not won in their last eight home matches in Serie A (2 draws, 6 losses).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of the last 9 home league matches.
- Genoa failed to score in the first half in 8 of their last 9 home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)
Nikola Leali – Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez, Aaron Martin Caricol – Alessandro Marcandalli, Morten Thorsby, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Ellertsson, Vitinha – Lorenzo Colombo.
Midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi will not play due to suspension. Note that Daniele De Rossi has become the new head coach.
Fiorentina
In the previous round, Fiorentina lost at home to Lecce with a score of 0-1. As a result, Fiorentina extended their winless streak in the league to ten matches (4 draws, 6 losses). This marks a club record for the number of matches without a win from the start of a Serie A season. Moreover, Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their last 16 league games. In the standings, Fiorentina has dropped to last place with four points.
- The club has not won in 7 of their last 8 away matches in Serie A (3 draws, 4 losses).
- The team conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 14 of their last 17 away league games.
- Fiorentina has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Luca Ranieri, Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo – Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Cher Ndour, Niccolo Fortini – Edin Dzeko, Moise Kean.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tariq Lamptey, as well as forward Christian Kouame, will not play due to injuries. Note that head coach Stefano Pioli has left the club, and Paolo Vanoli has become the new manager.
Referee
Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Genoa vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Genoa has had a weak start to the current Serie A season, particularly struggling in attack. Moreover, they have yet to score a goal in five home matches this season. On the other hand, the team can perform well defensively: in five home games this Serie A season, they have conceded six goals and kept two clean sheets.
Fiorentina also suffers from low scoring, and their away performances lack attacking flair: in the last eight away league games, the team has only scored more than one goal once. This occurred against Udinese, where the opponent played with a man down for more than half. Meanwhile, Fiorentina has conceded only six goals in five away matches this Serie A season, keeping two clean sheets during this period.
I do not expect many goals in this match, so my prediction is: Total under 2.5 goals
