The Matchday 38 La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid will take place on May 25 at the Montilivi Stadium. Girona vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Girona
The Catalans secured their place in La Liga for next season back in Matchday 36, defeating Valladolid away (1-0). Despite lacking tournament motivation, the club performed well against Real Sociedad, narrowly losing 3-2 on the road. Interestingly, they conceded the decisive goal after the 90th minute. Michel Sanchez's side is positioned 15th, but they could still end up in 17th place.
- In their last 15 La Liga matches, Girona has only achieved two victories (4 draws and 9 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 6 of the last 8 matches for the Catalans in the league.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in five consecutive home matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Girona (4-5-1)
Vladislav Krapivtsov – Daley Blind, Ladislav Krejci, Alejandro Frances, Arnau Martinez – Yangel Herrera, Ivan Martin, John Solis, Yaser Asprilla, Viktor Tsygankov – Christian Stuani.
Atletico Madrid
The team finishes the season in third place. They have a 3-point lead over their nearest rival, and even if Athletic catches up in points, Atletico will remain ahead due to victories in head-to-head matches. In the last round, Diego Simeone's side unexpectedly thrashed Betis 4-1 at home. This was their third consecutive home thrashing in the league. Notably, the club boasts the second-best defense in La Liga, having conceded only 30 goals as the season draws to a close.
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 9 matches in the league (5 wins and 2 draws).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 17 of Atletico's last 21 matches in La Liga.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Atletico's last 6 matches in La Liga.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (3-4-3)
Jan Oblak – Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet – Marcos Llorente, Koke, Rodrigo De Paul, Samuel Lino – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.
Referee
Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 104;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 33%.
Match Prediction: Girona vs. Atletico Madrid
Both teams lack tournament motivation for the final round in La Liga. Atletico is content with third place, having won no trophies this season, so they can play out the season calmly. The Catalans had a disappointing season but managed to retain their La Liga spot and participated in European competitions for the first time in their history.
The teams are likely to entertain fans with a high-scoring game. Both coaches might make slight rotations in the lineup, giving playing time to younger players, leading to open football. Girona has scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga. However, they have also conceded in 8 of their last 9 home games. Atletico has conceded in 8 of their last 10 league matches. Additionally, Atletico needs to end their streak of three away games without scoring. It's also worth noting that both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings at Montilivi.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes