The matchday 22 Bundesliga fixture between Hamburg and Union Berlin will take place on 14 February at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg vs Union Berlin: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's men ended a six-match winless run in the Bundesliga (four draws, two defeats) last time out thanks to a 2:0 victory over Heidenheim. It is worth noting how the team have tightened up defensively – they have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four matches. Overall, Hamburg have recorded six shutouts, which is the best figure among the clubs in the bottom half of the standings, where the club sit 11th. However, the team are third from bottom for goals scored (21).
- Hamburg have not scored more than once in five of their last seven league matches.
- On home soil in this competition, the team are unbeaten in six matches (two wins, four draws).
- Both teams to score landed in five of Hamburg's previous six home Bundesliga matches.
Potential Hamburg Lineup (3-4-3)*
Daniel Heuer – Philip Otele, Warmed Omari, Luka Vuskovic – Bakery Jatta, Nikolai Remberg, Albert Sambi-Lokonga, Miro Muheim – Fabio Vieira, Daniel Elfadli, Ransford Konigsdorffer.
Forwards Robert Glatzel and Yussuf Poulsen will not be available due to fitness problems.
Union Berlin
The mood in the Union Berlin camp after the last round is not quite as positive. The team drew 1:1 with Eintracht Frankfurt, extending their winless league run to six matches (four draws, two defeats). However, in only one match in that sequence have Steffen Baumgart's side failed to score. At the back, Union Berlin have lacked reliability: they have already conceded 34 goals, and only seven opponents have a worse record. This is despite the Berlin club sitting ninth in the standings.
- The club have conceded the opening goal in six consecutive Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, Union Berlin have failed to win six of their last eight league matches (two draws, four defeats).
- In the team's previous six away matches in this competition, they have scored exactly one goal.
Potential Union Berlin Lineup (3-4-3)*
Frederik Ronnow – Danilo Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Christopher Trimmel – Stanley Nsoki, Rani Khedira, Derrick Kohn, Andras Schafer – Ihlas Ansah, Jeong Woo-Yeong, Aljoscha Kemlein.
Midfielder Robert Skov and defenders Diogo Leite and Tom Rothe are injured.
Referee
Florian Badstubner (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 18;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match (average) – 21;
Penalties – 0%.
Hamburg vs Union Berlin: Match Prediction
Merlin Polzin's men achieved a modest success last time out, recording their first away win of the current league campaign. Now, Hamburg will play at home, where the team have collected the majority of their points. The club have avoided defeat in eight of 10 home matches in the Bundesliga 2025/26 (four wins, four draws), and even Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund dropped points at the Volksparkstadion. Union Berlin, who rarely get a positive result on the road, will face a tough test. In addition, the Berlin side failed to beat Hamburg in the first round, even at home (0:0).
The main task for Steffen Baumgart's side will be to stop the opposition from scoring. Union Berlin have looked decent defensively, conceding more than one goal in just two of their last seven away league matches. At the same time, the Berlin club have scored no more than once in eight straight away games. Hamburg, who have conceded in their last four matches only against Bayern Munich, should be able to contain such an attack.
Prediction: Hamburg, double chance + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
