The rescheduled Serie A Round 16 match between Inter Milan and Lecce will take place on 14 January at San Siro Stadium in Milan. Inter Milan vs Lecce: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Inter Milan
Inter Milan, coached by Cristian Kivu, drew 2:2 at home with Napoli in the last round. As a result, the side's six-match winning run in the league came to an end. In addition, the team conceded more than one goal for the first time in 11 Serie A matches. It is also worth noting that the hosts are by far the highest-scoring side in the current championship (42 goals). They have collected 43 points and continue to lead the table.
- The club has won 6 of its last 7 home matches in Serie A.
- The team has scored at least twice in seven of its previous league matches at home.
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of the last 10 home matches for the Milan side in Serie A.
Potential Inter Milan Lineup (3-5-2)*
Yann Sommer – Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck – Luis Henrique, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Hakan Calhanoglu, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Defenders Denzel Dumfries and Matteo Darmian, as well as midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu, will miss the match due to injury.
Lecce
Lecce, coached by Eusebio Di Francesco, failed to take points at home against Parma in the last round (1:2). A sending-off in the Lecce lineup influenced the result, and in the end the club failed to win for the seventh time in nine recent league matches (2 draws, 5 defeats). The club has collected 17 points and sits in 17th place in the table. Note that the team has scored only 13 goals in the current championship and is the worst in that regard.
- The club has not won in 6 of its last 8 away matches in Serie A (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- No more than two goals were scored in 9 of the team's previous 11 away league matches.
- Lecce has scored in 10 of its last 13 away matches in Serie A.
Potential Lecce Lineup (4-5-1)*
Vladimiro Falcone – Danilo Veiga, Tiago Gabriel, Corry Ndaba, Kialonda Gaspar – Lamek Banda, Mohamed Kaba, Ylber Ramadani, Youssef Maleh, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Stulic.
Defender Gaby Jean, midfielders Baltasar Pierre and Medon Berisha, and forwards Francesco Camarda and Tete Morente are injured. In addition, defender Kialonda Gaspar and midfielders Ylber Ramadani and Lamek Banda are suspended.
Referee
Fabio Maresca (Italy)
Matches – 10 (the Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow/red cards (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 25;
Penalties – 30%.
Inter Milan vs Lecce: Match Prediction
Inter Milan are having a strong season, lead the table and will certainly aim to avoid dropping points at home. However, we should not expect a very comfortable victory from the hosts: previously even at home the side only rarely produced a rout. In their last 25 home matches in Serie A the club recorded only four wins by a margin of at least three goals, and in six games failed to win at all.
Lecce, while not boasting impressive away results, try to fight every opponent. In their previous 16 away league matches the club managed to take points on nine occasions (4 wins, 5 draws), and of the seven defeats in that run only one was heavy. It is also worth noting that in the last three head-to-head meetings at the Milan side's stadium in Serie A Lecce never lost by more than two goals.
We do not think that there will be a thrashing by the hosts in this match, therefore our prediction:
Prediction: Lecce (+2.5)
* The starting lineup shown for each team corresponds to its previous match in this competition.