The Premier League matchday 29 fixture between Leeds United and Sunderland will take place on 3 March at Elland Road. Leeds United vs Sunderland: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leeds United
Leeds United hosted Manchester City at the weekend and lost 0:1 to one of the league’s leading sides. As a result, the club’s four-match unbeaten run in the league came to an end, a spell that brought one win and three draws. It was also only the second time in the last 11 Premier League games that the home team failed to score. Leeds United remain uncomfortably close to the bottom three, sitting six points clear of it. It is also worth noting that in the last three league matches the side conceded exactly one goal.
- In their last 17 Premier League matches, the club have suffered only three defeats (five wins and nine draws).
- Both teams scored in 16 of Leeds United’s previous 20 league games.
- The team have conceded no more than one goal in five of their last six home games in the Premier League.
Potential Leeds United Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Karl Darlow – Joe Rodon, James Justin, Pascal Struijk – Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson – Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Forward Noah Okafor is out injured. Defender Joe Rodon has a minor issue and remains a doubt.
Sunderland
Sunderland were also away from home last time out and managed to take a draw at the Vitality Stadium, despite opening the scoring against Bournemouth (1:1). Before that, the club suffered a surprise home defeat to Liverpool (0:1) and Fulham (1:3), and also lost away to Arsenal (0:3). A difficult run in the league has seen Sunderland drop to 12th in the standings. However, relegation trouble is unlikely, as the club sit 12 points clear of the bottom three. It is also worth adding that the team’s matches have been the lowest-scoring in the Premier League, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in seven of the club’s previous nine league matches.
- In Sunderland’s last 12 Premier League games, they have recorded just two wins (five draws and five defeats).
- Away from home, the team have been unable to score more than one goal in nine consecutive Premier League matches.
Potential Sunderland Lineup (4-5-1)*
Robin Roefs – Omar Alderete, Lutsharel Geertruida, Daniel Ballard, Trai Hume – Habib Diarra, Granit Xhaka – Shamsdine Talbi, Enzo Le Fee, Noah Sadiki – Eliezer Mayenda.
Defenders Nordi Mukiele and Reinildo Mandava, forward Brian Brobbey and midfielder Joselin Ta Bi will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 18 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 82;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 20;
Penalties – 22%.
Leeds United vs Sunderland: Match Prediction
Let us remind you that both sides were promoted to the Premier League together this season, and it is increasingly likely they will remain in England’s top flight for at least one more campaign. In this upcoming clash, we give a slight edge to the hosts, who have improved since the start of winter, while the visitors, by contrast, have hit the brakes since the Christmas period.
In addition, the venue matters. Both teams are much stronger at home than away. Leeds United have collected 71% of their points on home soil, and they have avoided defeat in six of their last eight home Premier League matches. Meanwhile, Sunderland have been unable to win away from home in nine straight league games.
We also feel there will be no more than three goals in this contest. After all, Sunderland games have been the lowest-scoring in the league. In addition, a maximum of three goals were scored in seven of Leeds United’s previous 11 Premier League matches and in 13 of Sunderland’s last 15 league fixtures. Incidentally, the sides drew 1:1 in the reverse meeting.
Prediction: Sunderland, double chance + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup is from their previous match in this competition.
