The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 between Lille (France) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on March 12 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium. The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw. Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
Bruno Genesio's side played to a 1-1 draw with Dortmund in the first leg. This draw was their first in the last five Champions League matches (3 wins, 1 loss). Interestingly, both teams scored in all these games. Lille's scoring streak in the Champions League now extends to eight matches. It is worth mentioning that Lille has never advanced beyond the Round of 16 in this tournament, but in both previous occasions, they lost the first leg at this stage.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Lille's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club is unbeaten at home in 6 Champions League matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- In 5 of their last 6 home matches in this tournament, Lille has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)
Lucas Chevalier – Ismaily, Alessandro, Bafode Diakite, Thomas Meunier – Ngalayel Mukau, Ayoub Bouaddi, Benjamin Andre, Mitchell Bakker – Jonathan David, Hakon Haraldsson.
Forward Edon Zhegrova and defenders Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos will miss the match due to injuries.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund opened the scoring in the previous match, but for the third time in this Champions League campaign, they failed to win after scoring first. However, their unbeaten run in the Champions League has now reached four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The question of advancing to the next round remains open, but Borussia has successfully navigated the Round of 16 in two of the last three occasions in this tournament. Additionally, the club shares third place with Bayern in terms of scoring in the current Champions League campaign.
- The Germans have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches in this European competition.
- Dortmund has not drawn in their last 7 away matches in the Champions League (4 wins, 3 losses).
- In six previous away matches in the Champions League, Borussia scored first.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Karim Adeyemi, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Emre Can – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha and defender Daniel Svensson are injured.
Match Prediction: Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund
The French side can count the first match as a success, especially considering their less impressive away record in the Champions League. However, at home, Bruno Genesio's team is capable of much more: they have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (6 wins, 3 draws). In the current Champions League campaign at Pierre Mauroy, even teams like Real Madrid (1-0) and Juventus (1-1) found it tough. Over the past year, Lille has only two losses in 20 official home matches.
Lille's issues arise from weak defensive play. The team has conceded in 7 consecutive Champions League matches but has also scored in 8 straight games in this tournament. Dortmund is adept at punishing defensive mistakes: the Germans failed to score in only one game in this Champions League campaign, and they have a 10-match scoring streak on the road.
A defeat for the hosts seems unlikely. However, a potential draw should not be low-scoring. My prediction: Lille will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
