The matchday 22 Ligue 1 fixture between Lille OSC and Stade Brestois 29 will take place on 14 February at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lille OSC
Lille OSC were unable to cope with Metz, who sit bottom of the standings, in the previous round – it ended in a goalless draw (0:0). Even so, the home team managed to halt a four-match losing run in Ligue 1. At the same time, their winless streak has now stretched to five games, and the club have not had a run like this in the league since November 2021. What is more, in their last five Ligue 1 matches, the side have scored just once. Those results inevitably affected their position in the standings – the team have dropped to fifth and are already six points adrift of the Champions League places.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in 6 of the club's previous 8 league matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Lille OSC's last 12 Ligue 1 games.
- The team have avoided defeat in 13 of their previous 16 home league matches (11 wins and 2 draws).
Potential Lille OSC Lineup (4-5-1)*
Berke Ozer – Aissa Mandi, Romain Perraud, Tiago Santos, Alessandro – Benjamin Andre, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Hakon Haraldsson, Ngal'ayel Mukau, Matias Fernandez-Pardo – Olivier Giroud.
Due to injuries, forward Hamza Igamane (out for the season), midfielders Ethan Mbappe and Nabil Bentaleb, defenders Thomas Meunier and Ousmane Toure, and goalkeeper Marc-Aurele Caillard are all sidelined. Defenders Aissa Mandi and Natan Ngoy will miss the match through suspension.
Stade Brestois 29
The Bretons are unbeaten in back-to-back league matches. First, they drew away to Nice (2:2), before beating Lorient 2:0 at home. It was also the club's first Ligue 1 win in four games (with two defeats in that run as well). It is also worth noting that the team have kept a clean sheet for the fifth time in the current campaign. As things stand, Stade Brestois 29 are 12th, but they still have a decent chance of pushing for European qualification – they are only five points off the top six.
- At least two goals were scored in the club's last six Ligue 1 matches.
- Stade Brestois 29 have failed to win 11 of their previous 13 away league matches (3 draws and 8 defeats).
- Both teams to score has landed in the team's last four away Ligue 1 games.
Potential Stade Brestois 29 Lineup (5-3-2)*
Gregoire Coudert – Romain Del Castillo, Brendan Chardonnet, Michel Diaz, Kenny Lala, Daouda Guindo – Joris Chotard, Kamory Doumbia, Hugo Magnetti – Remy Labeau-Lascary, Ludovic Ajorque.
Due to injuries, forward Mama Balde, as well as defenders Soumaila Coulibaly and Bradley Locko, could miss the match. Midfielder Kamory Doumbia will not play due to suspension.
Referee
Hakim Ben El Hadj (France)
Matches – 6 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Lille OSC vs Stade Brestois 29: Match Prediction
It has been a long time since Lille OSC have endured such a slump in the league. A side targeting a top-four finish have significantly reduced their chances after five winless matches, and if the team continue to play like this, they could end up missing out on Europe altogether. Bruno Genesio needs to make drastic changes to his players' performances in order to finally emerge from the crisis. We believe the hosts will come out on top in this encounter.
Lille OSC have a strong record against this opponent. In the previous nine head-to-head league meetings held at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, the home team recorded seven wins and two draws. Stade Brestois 29 have struggled on the road, and in their last 12 away Ligue 1 matches they have suffered eight defeats and two draws, with only two wins.
In addition, we expect an entertaining match with at least two goals. That number of goals has been scored in Stade Brestois 29's last five away league games. Lille OSC, meanwhile, have failed to score at home only twice in their previous 52 Ligue 1 matches. Therefore, our prediction is:
Prediction: Lille OSC to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI shown is the lineup from their previous match in this tournament.