The Matchday 4 clash in Ligue 1 between Lille and Toulouse will take place on September 14 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Toulouse: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
The team remains unbeaten in Ligue 1. In the previous round, the club thrashed Lorient 7-1, scoring 7 goals in one half – a feat not seen in Ligue 1 since 1997. Earlier, Lille narrowly defeated Monaco and shared points in an exciting away match against Brest (3-3). With 7 points out of a possible 9, Bruno Genesio's side occupies 3rd place in the standings. Notably, 15 goals have been scored in the team's three league matches – the highest in the tournament.
- Lille has not lost in their last 7 home games in Ligue 1 (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of their last 11 league matches.
- The club has conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-2-3-1)
Berke Ozer – Romain Perraud, Nathan Ngoy, Alessandro, Thomas Meunier – Benjamin Andre, Ayoub Bouaddi – Felix Correia, Hakon Haraldsson, Marius Broholm – Matias Fernandez Pardo.
Starting defender Thomas Meunier is unavailable due to injury. After recovery, forward Olivier Giroud, midfielders Andre Gomes, Ethan Mbappe, and Ngalayel Mukau, as well as defender Thiago Santos, may return to the lineup.
Toulouse
The team started Ligue 1 with victories over strong opponents – Nice (1-0) and Brest (2-0). However, Toulouse suffered a heavy defeat in a home game against PSG (3-6), ending a 6-match unbeaten run in the league (4 wins, 2 draws). With 6 points after 3 rounds, Carles Martinez's side is in 7th place in the standings.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Toulouse's last 9 league matches in France.
- The club has not lost in 8 of their last 11 away matches in Ligue 1 (5 wins, 3 draws).
- Toulouse has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters at Lille's ground in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Toulouse (5-4-1)
Guillaume Restes – Djibril Sidibe, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Dejann Metal – Yann Gboho, Mario Sauer, Cristian Casseres, Aron Dönnum – Frank Magri.
Starting defender Jaidi Kanwo has left the club.
Referee
Jeremy Stinat (France)
Matches – 19 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 75;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 32%.
Lille vs. Toulouse: Match Prediction
Lille is the highest-scoring club in Ligue 1, with a total of 11 goals in 3 matches. However, the team could not secure three victories, sharing points with Brest due to defensive errors. Bruno Genesio's side has accustomed us to high-scoring games and somewhat shaky defense. It's no wonder both teams scored in 13 of Lille's last 17 home league matches.
Toulouse is considered the underdog, but they have not lost in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches (4 wins, 2 draws). The team has scored at least one goal in their last 6 league matches. The club is traditionally resilient and tries to challenge any opponent, including Lille. This is confirmed by the fact that none of the last six head-to-head league meetings ended in a rout, with both teams scoring in five of them.
I expect similar scoring in this match, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
