The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 between Liverpool (England) and PSG (France) will take place on March 11 at Anfield. The first leg ended with a 1-0 victory for Liverpool. Liverpool vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side secured a narrow 1-0 victory in France. The British team has won nine matches in this tournament edition (1 loss), keeping clean sheets in six of those games. Interestingly, Liverpool has defeated the reigning champions of Germany, Spain, and France without conceding a goal in the current Champions League. Only Inter (1) and Arsenal (4) have conceded fewer goals than Liverpool (5). To advance to the quarter-finals, the English team only needs to avoid defeat in the return leg.
- The club's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League spans 17 matches.
- On home soil, the British team has won 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches (1 loss).
- In their last 10 home games in this tournament, Liverpool has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)
Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate – Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister – Darwin Nunez, Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz.
PSG
The defeat in the first leg ended a five-match winning streak for the team in the Champions League. Furthermore, Luis Enrique's side suffered their first loss in 23 official matches. To progress to the next round, the club needs to win by at least two goals. If PSG beats Liverpool by exactly one goal, extra time will be played. However, it's worth noting that after losing the first leg of a Champions League playoff, the French team has only advanced twice in nine attempts.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The team has not drawn in their last 8 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 3 losses).
- PSG has not conceded more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Liverpool vs. PSG
Liverpool should thank their luck and goalkeeper for the first-leg result. PSG dominated Liverpool but failed to convert any chances, with Alisson Becker making 9 saves. The French team needs a win to advance, but few can defeat the hosts at Anfield. Moreover, Arne Slot's side is unlikely to deliver two consecutive lackluster performances.
On their home turf, the English team has not lost in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches (8 wins, 1 draw). Only Real Madrid managed to defeat Liverpool in this period. The Spanish club is a known nemesis for Liverpool, but the British team has experience successfully facing PSG.
PSG has a streak of three away wins in the Champions League, but the level of their opponents should be considered. In the knockout stages, the French team has not impressed away from home; in the last three years, they've only defeated strong opponents like Barcelona. Luis Enrique's side performed well in the first leg, but they are unlikely to win against the English team.
My prediction: Liverpool with a handicap (0)