The Matchday 26 Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Auxerre will take place on 13 March at the Orange Velodrome. Marseille vs Auxerre: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Marseille
The 1:0 win over Toulouse in the previous round lifted Marseille to third place in the French top flight. That victory was their 14th in 25 matches (4 draws, 7 defeats), but the situation in the standings remains tight nonetheless: the club are only ahead of Lyon on tie-breakers. It is also worth highlighting the hosts' scoring record. In 25 league games, Marseille have already netted 52 times, averaging 2.13 goals per match, and only Paris are better by that metric.
In 12 home matches in the 2025/26 season, the hosts have recorded eight wins (three draws, one defeat).
The home side have scored at least once in 15 of their last 16 home Ligue 1 matches.
Marseille have conceded in seven of their last eight league games.
Potential Marseille Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Geronimo Rulli - Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Leonardo Balerdi - Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg - Amine Harit, Mason Greenwood, Hamed Junior Traore - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Auxerre
The results of the last two matches, in which Auxerre drew with Lorient (2:2) and Strasbourg (0:0), have slightly improved Auxerre's position, but they still sit 16th in the table and have every chance of being relegated at the end of the season. In addition, the visitors are Ligue 1's weakest team in attack. Across 25 rounds, Christophe Pelissier's men have managed just 19 goals. Defensively, however, the situation looks much better: they have conceded only 35 times in those same 25 matches, which can be considered a very respectable figure, even when compared with some clubs from the top half of the standings.
At least one of the teams failed to score in seven of Auxerre's previous nine league matches.
In 12 away matches in the 2025/26 season, the visitors have picked up one win (four draws, seven defeats).
Auxerre have conceded in 12 of their last 13 away Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Auxerre Lineup (4-4-2)*
Donovan Leon - Gideon Mensah, Sinaly Diomande, Marvin Senaya, Brian Oko - Josue Casimir, Fredrik Oppegard, Keven Danois, Elisha Owusu - Danny Namaso, Lassine Sinayoko.
Referee
Marc Bollengier (France)
Matches - 11 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) - 45;
Average yellow cards per match - 4.1;
Red cards shown - 4;
Fouls per match on average - 27;
Penalties - 45%.
Marseille vs Auxerre: Match Prediction
After facing Auxerre, the home team have two difficult fixtures ahead against sides who are among their closest pursuers in the standings. Therefore, the upcoming game looks like a good chance to open up a little gap to their competitors and secure a third straight league win. The hosts also have a small advantage: unlike many opponents, the club are not involved in European competition and can fully focus on domestic matches. Moreover, the statistics for home games are on Marseille's side. In their last 24 matches at the Orange Velodrome, the team have lost only twice (17 wins, five draws). One of those recent defeats came against Nantes, but the result was heavily influenced by an early red card that Marseille received right at the beginning of the match.
As for Auxerre's positives, we can once again highlight their defensive work - as mentioned earlier, the team look fairly solid in that aspect. However, it is difficult to call it a serious advantage when the squad have clear problems in front of goal. In addition, although Marseille are not considered a model of defensive reliability - by that metric they are worse than every team in the top four - the hosts are in excellent shape going forward. Therefore, even Auxerre's relatively organised defence is unlikely to withstand the pressure for long. Especially as the match will be played at the Orange Velodrome, where it is always difficult for any visiting side. Taking all these factors into account, we believe Marseille should come through comfortably and take all three points.
Prediction: Marseille to win
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is listed.
