The match of Matchday 7 of the group stage of the Champions League 2025/26 between Marseille (France) and Liverpool (England) will take place on 21 January at Velodrome stadium. Marseille vs Liverpool: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Marseille
Marseille secured an important away victory in their last match against Union, winning 3:2, and before that the home side beat Newcastle 2:1. Thanks to these results, Marseille climbed into the top 24 and occupy 16th place. If the home side wins this match, they will very likely secure qualification for the knockout stage. It is also worth noting that a win in the upcoming game would give Marseille a run of three Champions League victories for the first time since the 2010/11 season.
- The club's uncompromising run in the Champions League already stands at 32 games – 9 wins and 23 defeats.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of Marseille's last 7 matches in this competition.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the French side's last 7 Champions League games.
Potential Marseille Lineup (3-4-2-1)
Gerónimo Rulli – CJ Egan-Riley, Facundo Medina, Benjamin Pavard – Emerson, Arthur Vermeeren, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Timothy Weah – Igor Paixao, Mason Greenwood – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
The participation of defender Nayef Aguerd is in doubt (late return from AFCON). Defender Pol Lirola has moved to Hellas Verona.
Liverpool
Liverpool in their last match of the tournament unexpectedly beat Inter on the opponent's ground 1:0, with the only goal scored from a penalty in the 88th minute. Penalties were awarded in 3 of the club's 6 Champions League matches. Liverpool have not drawn in this competition for 27 games, during which they recorded 19 wins and 8 defeats. Liverpool sit in 9th place, trailing Atlético Madrid in eighth only on tiebreakers. The visitors need only avoid defeat to guarantee participation in the knockout stage.
- No more than three goals were scored in 5 of the club's last 7 away matches in this competition.
- Liverpool have won 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League.
- The club conceded more than one goal in only 1 of their last 11 away games in this competition.
Potential Liverpool Lineup (4-5-1)
Alisson – Milos Kerkez, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez – Jeremie Frimpong, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo – Florian Wirtz.
Defender Conor Bradley and forward Alexander Isak are injured. The participation of forward Mohamed Salah is in doubt (late return from AFCON).
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow/second yellow cards shown – 13;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls average per match – 28;
Penalties – 20%.
Marseille vs Liverpool: Match Prediction
Both clubs have not shown stable form this season, both in the Champions League and in their domestic championships. We slightly prefer the visitors, who are currently unbeaten in 12 consecutive official matches (7 wins and 5 draws). Liverpool have won 16 of 19 matches at the group/overall stage in the Champions League. In addition, Liverpool have avoided defeat in 6 of their last 8 encounters with French opposition (5 wins and 1 draw). Marseille, meanwhile, have managed only 1 victory in their last 13 meetings with English clubs (3 draws and 9 defeats).
This match is also likely to be productive. At least three goals were scored in 10 of Marseille's last 13 Champions League matches, and the same number of goals were scored in 12 of Liverpool's last 19 away matches in the competition. Attention should be paid to Dominik Szoboszlai's finishing, as he scored in 3 of his last 4 Champions League matches, and to Igor Paixao, who has 4 goal contributions in his last five appearances in this tournament.
Our prediction – Double Chance 2X and Over 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Double Chance 2X and Over 2.5 goals
