The Ligue 1 Matchday 24 clash between Metz and Brest will take place on 1 March at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz vs Brest: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Metz
The team have now gone 11 straight league matches without a win. Across that run, they have suffered nine defeats and drawn twice. In their last match, the club visited Paris Saint-Germain and lost 0:3. That was already the seventh heavy defeat for Metz in the current campaign. The team remain rooted to the bottom of the standings with 13 points, and the gap to safety in 15th place continues to grow, now standing at 10 points. The club are also still the worst defensive side in Ligue 1, having conceded 52 goals.
- The team have scored more than one goal in just one of their last seven league matches.
- At home, Metz are winless in five consecutive Ligue 1 matches (one draw and four defeats).
- At least two goals were scored in the second half in six of the club’s last eight home league matches.
Potential Metz Lineup (5-4-1)*
Jonathan Fischer – Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Terry Yegbe, Fode Ballo-Toure, Lucas Michal – Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Boubacar Traore, Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Alpha Toure – Habib Diallo.
Due to injuries, forwards Gauthier Hein and Joseph Mangondo, midfielders Ismael Guerti and Benjamin Stambouli, and goalkeeper Pape Sy are all unavailable.
Brest
In the last round, the Bretons surprisingly dealt with Marseille with ease at their own ground, winning 2:0. It was a second consecutive home clean-sheet victory, while in between those wins the club also drew twice on the road. In the current campaign, the team have only managed to go unbeaten in four straight league matches for the second time. Brest have slightly improved their position in the standings, moving up to 11th, and they have also pulled 13 points clear of the bottom three. There is also a chance to push for European qualification, with a seven-point gap to the top six.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in six of the team’s last seven Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest have not won any of their last four away league matches (two draws and two defeats).
- Both teams scored in the club’s previous five away Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Brest Lineup (4-5-1)*
Gregoire Coudert – Brandan Chardonnet, Michel Dias, Kenny Lala, Daouda Guindo – Joris Chotard, Romen Del Castillo, Kamory Doumbia, Yugo Magnetti, Eric Dina-Ebimbe – Ludovic Ajorque.
Forward Mama Balde will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Jeremy Stinat (France)
Matches – 9 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 4;
Fouls per match (average) – 25;
Penalties – 11%.
Metz vs Brest: Match Prediction
The Bretons have an excellent chance to climb even higher in the table, after all, they are up against the weakest team in the league. At the same time, there are concerns about the result, because Brest are not as convincing away from home, where in the current campaign they have managed just two wins from 11 matches. The club have also conceded as many as 21 goals in those games, and only four Ligue 1 sides have a worse defensive record in away fixtures. That is why we expect the visitors to concede again this time.
Metz have also scored in five of their last seven home league matches. So even the hosts’ problematic attacking line can вполне feasibly delight their fans with a goal. However, Brest should not be kept out either, having found the net in five consecutive away league games. Meanwhile, Metz have conceded in five of their last six home Ligue 1 matches. We will also add that both teams scored in four of the last six head-to-head league meetings.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is listed.