The Matchday 16 Serie A clash between AC Milan and Genoa will take place on December 15 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Empoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Predicted lineups for AC Milan vs. Genoa
AC Milan (4-5-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao – Alvaro Morata.
Genoa (5-3-2): Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Alan Matturro, Stefano Sabelli, Mattia Bani, Alessandro Zanoli – Morten Thorsby, Morten Frendrup, Fabio Miretti – Milan Badelj, Andrea Pinamonti.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
AC Milan
In the previous round, AC Milan's four-match unbeaten run in the league was ended by a 1-2 defeat to Atalanta. The team remains in 7th place in the Serie A standings, but their gap from the European competition zone has increased to five points. Last season, Milan was in 3rd place at this stage, with seven more points than they have now. However, at home in the current championship, the club has been performing well, avoiding defeat in 6 of 7 matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Moreover, AC Milan has conceded the fewest goals at home this Serie A season – just four.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of AC Milan's last 10 Serie A matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in AC Milan's last 6 home matches in this tournament.
- The club has avoided defeat in 19 of their last 21 home Serie A games (13 wins, 6 draws).
Genoa
Conversely, Genoa extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) after a goalless draw with Torino in the last round. This is the longest unbeaten streak for the team since their return to Italy's top league. It's also worth noting that Genoa has kept clean sheets in their last two Serie A matches. Importantly, all three of their wins this Serie A season have come on the road. In the Italian league standings, Genoa is in 14th place, just three points above the relegation zone.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in 5 of Genoa's last 6 Serie A matches.
- The club has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 17 of their last 20 away league matches.
- One team failed to score in 6 of Genoa's last 7 away matches in Italy's top league.
AC Milan vs. Genoa: Match Prediction
After their defeat to Atalanta in the league, Milan managed to secure a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Crvena Zvezda in the Champions League this week. Meanwhile, Genoa had full preparation time for the upcoming match. I don't think the hosts will achieve an easy victory in this encounter. Genoa is unbeaten in five Serie A matches. Moreover, AC Milan has only won by more than one goal in 1 of their last 8 league matches.
Therefore, I disagree with the bookmakers who expect a thrashing of the visitors in the upcoming match. Genoa is resilient and usually puts up a fight against opponents, even on the road. The club has won with a 1.5-goal handicap in 17 of their last 20 away Serie A matches.
I believe that this time as well, the visitors, unbeaten since November, have every chance to avoid a heavy defeat. My prediction: Genoa with a handicap (+1.5)