The Matchday 17 Serie A fixture between Milan and Verona will take place on December 28 at the San Siro. Milan vs Verona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
In the last round, Massimiliano Allegri's side were held by Sassuolo at home (2-2). Nevertheless, Milan extended their unbeaten run in the league to 14 matches (9 wins, 5 draws). The team has conceded more than one goal for the fifth time in the current Serie A campaign. With 32 points, the Rossoneri sit second in the table. Notably, Milan have scored 24 goals in this season — the second-best return after Inter (34).
- The side have won 7 of their last 10 home league matches.
- The club have failed to score more than two goals in nine of their previous ten home league games.
- Milan have conceded no more than one goal in 8 of their last 11 home Serie A matches.
Probable Milan XI (3-5-2)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlović – Davide Bartesaghi, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Luka Modrić, Adrien Rabiot, Alexis Saelemaekers – Christopher Nkunku, Christian Pulisic.
Defender Matteo Gabbia and forward Santiago Giménez will miss the match due to injuries.
Verona
In the previous round, Paolo Zanetti's side beat Fiorentina 2-1 away. Verona recorded back-to-back wins in the league for the first time in two seasons. However, the visitors have managed only three clean sheets in their last 21 Serie A matches. Verona have 12 points and have climbed to 18th in the table.
- The club have failed to win 7 of their last 8 away Serie A matches (3 draws, 4 defeats).
- The team failed to score more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Verona's last 8 Serie A matches.
Probable Verona XI (3-5-2)
Lorenzo Montipo – Unai Núñez, Victor Nelsson, Armel Bella-Kotchap – Rafik Belghali, Cheikh Niasse, Antoine Bernède, Ali El-Musrati, Martin Fressel – Daniel Mosquera, Giovane.
Defender Domagoj Bradarić and midfielders Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro and Tomáš Suslov will miss the match through injury. Defender Rafik Belghali will be absent due to African Cup of Nations duty.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 22 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 92;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 5%.
Match prediction: Milan vs Verona
Milan are comfortable at home but often secure results without a spectacular attacking display. Allegri's side have found the net in all eight of their home league outings this season, yet they have not once scored more than two goals at San Siro. Historically their output at home has been modest: in 15 of their last 16 home Serie A matches, Milan scored no more than two goals.
Verona rarely produce their best on the road, but they try to limit big defensive errors. Across their last 21 away league matches, Verona have conceded more than two goals just twice, while opponents were held to a single goal on 13 occasions. In the two most recent Serie A meetings at San Siro, Verona conceded only one goal in each game.
I expect the visitors to be compact defensively, so my prediction: Milan — individual total under 2.5
* For each team the starting XI shown is from their most recent match in this competition.